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Aidan Milliff
@aidanmilliff.com

New research in Science from @dominic-rohner.bsky.social and others: USAID cuts caused violent conflict to spike immediately in areas that received the most USAID support and last for months. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

science.orgAiding peace or conflict? The impact of USAID cuts on violenceLess than a week after its inauguration, the second Trump administration issued a blanket stop-work order for the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the largest national human...

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David Ubilava
@davidubilava.bsky.social

Findings of this study align closely with those from our paper on the very same topic and using similar data except we conduct a country-level analysis, and which we released back in January. I posted a short thread then on this platform: bsky.app/profile/davi...

David Ubilava@davidubilava.bsky.social

It has been one year since the January 2025 suspension of USAID. In our new paper (with Annabelle Tan and @ashani.bsky.social), we treat this suspension as a natural experiment and examine how foreign aid withdrawal affects conflict dynamics. A thread: [1/7] papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.comAid, Interrupted: Conflict Dynamics Following the USAID Suspension in AfricaForeign aid withdrawal may put the stability of aid-dependent states at risk. Yet short-term conflict responses to donor-side aid disruptions remain poorly unde