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Algae are prolific producers of oxygen (and consumers of carbon dioxide), en masse producing a huge proportion of the oxygen we breathe, which means that the greening of the Reflecting Pool might be the most pro-climate thing Trump has ever done.

I'd argue that refinery fires cause no net impact on emissions since just about everything at a refinery is destined to be burned by definition. Meanwhile, closing Hormuz has caused production cuts in the area, so more oil is staying in the ground.

Yes. Some of that is from the fires not being in a controlled environment (incomplete combustion, no exhaust mitigations, etc.), and some of that is because we're usually spreading the harms out along every highway. But CO2 specifically? Breakeven at worst (note "incomplete combustion" above).

War in general is a giant source of emissions. If it was just a blockade it might be a negative source, but ... I'd guess the destabilizing effect of these wars will increase global military spending for some time. Probably lower the hurdle for new wars. earth.org/warfare-now-...

earth.org3 Years On, War Is Largest Source of Carbon Emissions in UkraineWar is now the largest source of carbon emissions in Ukraine, a report released on the third anniversary of Russia's invasion has found.