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NORTH CAROLINA VOTE-BY-MAIL RETURNS AS OF 9/10 832 ballots have been returned so far. Total: Party / Total / Percent / Gain from Last Dump 🔵 Democrats - 436 (52.4%) (+271/-3.7%) 🟢 No Party Affiliation - 348 (41.8%) (+238/+4.4%) 🔴 Republicans - 47 (5.6%) (+28/-0.9%)

57,147 ballots requested so far (+2,374 from yesterday): 🔵 Democrats - 24,237 (42.4%), +4.0 from 2024, -9.3 from 2022 🟢 No Party Affiliation - 22,607 (39.6%), +0.9 from 2024, +5.2 from 2022 🔴 Republicans - 10,128 (17.7%), -4.9 from 2024, +4.1 from 2022

Democrats improved slightly on VBM requests today, but otherwise, not too much to say here! Still far too early in the cycle to draw any conclusions imo. US Senate race is still (in terms of odds) upper-likely D on our model.

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