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Almost none of the 40 governments we analyse have updated their 2030 target, which is critical to keep warming levels below 1.5°C ... nor have they set out the kind of action in their new 2035 targets that would change the warming outlook.

As a result, warming under our “2030 and 2035 targets scenario” remains at 2.6°C, the same as last year, before 2035 NDCs were submitted. In other words, the 2035 NDCs so far submitted don't change the dial in terms of keeping warming to 1.5˚C.

The Paris Agreement works! In 2015, our current policies pathway led to 3.6°C of warming by 2100. 10 years later this has dropped by around 1°C. This framework has rewritten the rules of global climate action - sparking investment, innovation, & reforms that would simply not have happened without it

1.5C 👀! 2C+ 👀🤔