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But in all honesty, I want to live in a world where Americans who voted for him realize that it’s still their fault, even if they were stupid enough to not think this is what they were getting. And act accordingly (stay the fuck home).

At this point, I don't see how it ends before 2029. Trump will keep this war going as long as he's in office simply because he can't admit defeat.

It ends just before the SPR reaches critical low, operational damage-inducing levels if we can get to that point without the regional war expanding and devolving into catastrophe.

Get Carter(ed)

we'll be lucky if it's over by the next presidential

The war creates very little chaos for Americans. Just enough for people to notice and get angry about, even if they never usually pay attention to politics, but not enough to actually disrupt anything.