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Also to repeat another critic: No one has had to maintain this stuff yet, or seen what the drawbacks of your engineers not really understanding the codebase are. The knowledge-rot may prove organizationally fatal.

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I didn't say the change would be good! I do think it's a tool that will empower good engineers to be even better, and conversely people who weren't careful before are going to become that much more dangerous going forward, for exactly the reasons you just said

I'm also not even convinced that these are yet "indispensable" and that engineers must adapt-or-die here. I see a lot of excitement but the velocity increase does not seem like it's sustainable, especially when you factor in inference costs.

I think it will take a few years before we really figure out how best to use these things in a cost-effective way. I would be loathe to make a prediction on what will happen, except to say I sure am glad not to be a junior developer right now

there's a happy medium where it speeds up solving development/maintenance/sysadmin problems a ton if you use it kinda like a search engine circa 2016 that almost always has a 60% good stack overflow post. certainly not as effective as a GOOD agentic engineer but uh not as destructive as a bad one