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Likely voters for this year's midterms lean more Democratic than registered voters or all adults, a change from last cycle. Democrats are +9 among self-described likely voters in this month's Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll, vs +7 among RVs. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-07-22...

gelliottmorris.comLikely voters lean more Democratic for November's midterms, a change from past cyclesIn every wave of our poll this year, screening for likely voters has nudged the congressional generic ballot a point or two bluer

22/7/26, 11:27 am55 reposts232 likes

Dr.hello

@drhello.bsky.social

22 July

Hobbs received 50k votes in an uncontested race than both Republicans combined

Ben

@benmemyself.bsky.social

Vote MAGAts out

Strange to me that these three groups track so closely. Shouldn't they respond to current events at least somewhat independently, given their heterogeneous composition? Does that mean poll-to-poll variation is mainly technical?

670rv

@670rv.bsky.social

22 July

Is there a state specific data - like this to look at. thanks.