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My latest commentary for @eastasiaforum.bsky.social is out. China isn’t mediating the US–Israel–Iran war because it isn’t trying to. Its Middle East strategy is commerce first, not security leadership. A key risk though is prolonged disruption in Hormuz. Do read! eastasiaforum.org/2026/07/01/c...

eastasiaforum.orgChina gains by standing aside in the Iran WarDespite its growing influence in the Middle East, China has largely remained on the sidelines of the Iran war, prioritising economic ties over security leadership.

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