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An interesting but unsurprising dynamic can be found in the Canadian Conservative Party today. It's leader, Pierre Poilievre is very popular with the party, but he's quite unpopular with the voters (apoliticals, moderates, non-partisans) his party (and any party in Canada) needs to win government.

It's also worth pondering what the last 10 years of polarization post-social media has done to the party and it's chances of winning. Poilievre more than previous CPC leaders has leaned into polarizing rhetoric (other parties are not innocent here either).

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This makes me wonder if a 'Red Tory' (a more moderate conservative) may not be as welcomed by the party's base. That's a big deal because that's the kind of candidate the party needs to win government, whether it recognizes it, likes it, or not.