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Nice digging. In a volatile industry like tech, which is male-dominated, we expect ups and downs so it's far too early to predict an AI-pocalypse Self-serving pronouncments like the one from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei over estimate the speed if not size of their impacts Amara's law

Isn't that possibly a stocks vs flows issue? Very recent tech grads are finding jobs, but those who graduated a few years back (but still aged under 27) have faced a harder market?

LLMs do change everything in tech over the next 10-20 years, but the idea of it moving industry-wide hiring trends *right now* always struck me as unlikely, regardless of anecdotes to the otherwise

This is what we see in silicon valley www.siliconvalley.com/2025/03/10/t...

Is this data global? Because in the US, Section 174 of the tax code was removed in 2022, which meant R&D headcount was no longer tax deductible (more below). I have thought for a while now that was a large contributor to hiring issues, not necessarily AI. (174 was reinstated by Trump's Big Bill).

To be clear, this doesn’t necessarily mean AI is not taking any coding jobs, but at the very least it may be creating as many new openings in tech as it is erasing old ones.