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Carter turns to the voter roll demand, which they lost in the courts. Per Carter, the government responds: "We don't care. We're going to put violence and chaos in the streets and we're going to force it with illegal conduct." "If THAT doesn't violate the 10th Amendment...."

Carter floats a hypothetical of an anti-gun admin deploying 3,000-4,000 masked federal agents engaging in pervasive, illegal conduct. Under the crime-fighting banner, the gov't says: "If you just legislate, get rid of your carry statute, we'll go away." "It's the same thing."

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Carter: "It is personal animosity. It is retribution. Literally, the President of the United States" said in the middle of this "chaos": "Minnesota, you day of retribution is here." "That's CRAZY. How can that NOT violate the 10th Amendment?"

Carter: "If this is not stopped right here, right now, I don't think that anybody seriously looking at this problem can have much faith in how our Republic is going to go in the future."

Carter: "We just had a leaked memo that rather shockingly suggests that ICE agents can conduct warrantless entries" into people's home. Judge: "I'm not being flip here... but where's the lawsuit on that?"

Judge: You're asking me for a TRO. What does it say? I'm not being flip here. What exactly do you think these 10th Amendment claims let me order? Carter: The easiest thing would be to end this Operation Metro Surge.

Judge: "I can detail the number of agents. I can pick and choose about who to arrest[...] I can tell them to take off masks and wear bodycams. I can do all that?!"

Note: The 8th Circuit paused this judge's modest order blocking the federal agents' violation of protesters' rights. Minnesota's requested relief is MUCH more sweeping.

Judge Menendez asks what if she denies a TRO now and develops the record more before the preliminary injunction question. Carter responds that the state needs relief now. 10-15 minute recess

Analysis: Judge Menendez appears skeptical of her power to order immediate relief in this unprecedented situation. But her comments about developing an evidentiary record COULD suggest receptiveness to the state's anti-commandeering args down the line.

Judge reads a quote: "If you want less officers on the street, let us in the jail." "Doesn't that say there will be less officers in the street if you change the policy?" She says that Bondi's letter "strongly suggests" the surge is contingent on the policies.

Judge: "You're asking me to believe that the surge has nothing to do with coercing the Plaintiffs into changing their policies."

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This is going better than I'd even hoped for. NEVER count your chickens in a courtroom until the opinion is hatched, BUT the judge is asking precisely the right questions and is laser-focused on Bondi's letter. Excellent.

The judge asks: "What if AG Bondi signed her letter, 'If you changed your policies, the surge ends today?" Would that arise to an anti-commandeering issue?

Judge: "Let's say that Attorney General Bondi said, 'We are here until you change your policies.'" Doesn't that change the anti-commandeering considerations?

Judge Menendez asks about Trump's quote: "Your day of retribution is here." She asks what she's supposed to do with that. Mayers says he hasn't seen that Truth Social post.