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The Knicks were given just a 0.4% chance to win Game 4. The Patriots fell to 0.2% during Super Bowl LI. Which comeback was actually more improbable? A look at win probability models, uncertainty, and why "almost impossible" isn't the same as impossible. bit.ly/4ekV43S #SportsAnalytics #NBA #NFL
bit.lyWhat Was More Improbable: The Knicks’ Game 4 Comeback or the Patriots’ Super Bowl LI Rally from a 28-3 Deficit?Using ESPN win probability models, the answer is surprisingly close, and probably closer than the exact decimals suggest.
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