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So which day is 'correct' for えびす講 is a convention, not the sky. The sources still split by a month: 誓文払い began at 冠者殿社, a 摂社 of 八坂神社 in Kyoto, dated 20 Oct, same as えびす講. Regions on 月遅れ keep it 20 Nov. (ja.wikipedia えびす講, citing 吉井良隆『えびす信仰事典』1999; 月遅れ.)
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