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This wasn't a straight line. Jan 2024: closed models led by 8%. Aug 2024: gap shrinks to 0.5%. Feb 2025: DeepSeek-R1 briefly ties the top US model. Mar 2026: gap reopens to 3.3% as reasoning models pull ahead.
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Read the full report here: stateofopensource.ai
stateofopensource.aiThe State of Open Source AI — V1.0 · July 2026