So we can now see the Grand Bargain struck between Trump, Putin, Xi, and MBS. β’ Trump takes Venezuela and the oil β’ Putin and Xi look away. β’ China invades Taiwan. β’ Trump and Putin looks away β’ Trump disables US weapons in Ukraine β’ Russia invades Ukraine. β’ Trump looks away. NATO falters 1/5
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Itβs not clear how MBS benefits, except removing Venezuela as a competitor. Likely MBS has longer term goals that fit here. As for how to stop it β¦ we would need to remove Trump ASAP, and replace him with someone that wonβt βlook awayβ. Itβs not clear we can do that before the Taiwan invasion. 3/5
Itβs also not clear Vance will not go along with it. Heβs shown himself to be anti war in the past, but maybe heβll change his spots and go along with it once he has the reins of power. Of course NATO could step up, but theyβd could be fighting both the Russians and the US at the same time. 4/5
NATO joining the fray would likely escalate this to a full World War. Putinβs calculation is that theyβre all pussies. Itβs disheartening that we βwonβ the Cold War, only to have it all undone by a small greedy man, whose daddy issues made him need powerful men to tell him how great he was. 5/5
The other question I would have is: how much of this has Trump been read in to by Putin and Xi. Putin has no doubt told Trump βyou should take Greenland for the mineralsβ β¦ but is Trump aware that the real goal here is to destabilize NATO?
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