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During February 2026, Europe yet again saw the growing impacts of climate change. 🌧️ A series of atmospheric rivers, together with a south-shifted jet stream led to heavy-to-extreme precipitation, triggering widespread flooding and landslides, particularly across Iberia and western France. 🌍🧪⚒️

10/3/26, 7:37 am33 reposts49 likes

Ken Caldeira

@kencaldeira.com

10 Mar

How much of this variability is attributable to climate change? These are RCP8.5 projections for 2071-2100 relative to 1971-2000 (although provenance is a bit unclear). www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/...

Sam Burgess

@oceanterra.org

10 Mar

And the WWA analysis suggests a ~10% increase in intensity from anthropogenic climate change although they highlight strong regional differences www.worldweatherattribution.org/increasingly...

worldweatherattribution.orgIncreasingly severe rainstorms put people and structures built on floodplains at risk – World Weather Attribution

Sam Burgess

@oceanterra.org

10 Mar

Great question @kencaldeira.com, we’ve not done a specific climate attribution study, however, this graphic from AR6 highlights heavy rain increase with high confidence for Europe