Post

Takaichi wins, with Koizumi falling surprisingly short in the lawmaker votes - he didn't even win all of Hayashi's votes. Probably in part down to lawmakers not wanting to ignore the constituency votes, but also a pretty clear sign of a party running scared of populist challenges from its right.

Rob Fahey

@robfahey.net

4 Oct 2025

Unless Takaichi as LDP leader can show a side of herself that's never been apparent in her career to date, this is going to be a disaster. Lots of very glum faces among the senior LDP faces up on stage right now; they no doubt suspect that the turkeys just voted for Christmas.

Robert Nordström (PhD)

@rnords.bsky.social

4 Oct 2025

Lower House election before end of the year? Or will she try to work with Sanseito and other right-wing parties to have some conservative coalition?

Rob Fahey

@robfahey.net

I don't think she'll try to work with Sanseito - Ishin is more likely. She's a boon to Sanseito though, even if she and her supporters seem to believe, naively, that her being in charge somehow negates Sanseito's raison d'etre.

4/10/25, 6:09 am2 reposts12 likes

Rob Fahey

@robfahey.net

4 Oct 2025

(The party that does actually lose their raison d'etre from this is Hoshuto, but they're already mid-collapse anyway so it probably doesn't make much difference.)