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Quitting programming as a career right now because of LLMs would be like quitting carpentry as a career thanks to the invention of the table saw.

It's going to accelerate the trends of frameworkism: more code architected more poorly. This is bad.

AI coding tools are only good if you consider the main goal of software engineering to be producing more software instead of better software.

Yep, they can regurgitate a lot of code, usually from oft regurgitated snippets, and you get hello world in any language, but when it’s time to do real work in either novel or drastically updated systems you are in for real pain relying on gen AI.

... unless you spend several months climbing the learning curve to figure out how to get useful results out of it, at which point it becomes a significant accelerant

use cases/problem domains/results vary, obviously. If I was trying to write web front ends in react my life would considerably easier with many gen ai tools, but in the plumbing of some types of code the subtle bugs can blunt many efficiency gains.