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So many people with aviation psychosis claiming that the Wrights’ invention is going to reshape global geography when it can’t even go more than 25 yards

“It’ll change things when the technology improves” it will NEVER be possible to put as many people in an aeroplane as you can on a Cunard liner

So we’re comparing Large Language Models, the notably and hilariously unreliable technology, to the invention of flight now. Right. Why not fire? The wheel? The resurrection of the Christ?

No it’s not. They've been plateauing for 18 months, theres no more data, and synthetic data doesn’t really work. this essential tailing off in LLM advances explains the non-stop horseshit being peddled around safety and them turning into god next week. It’s autistic hustlers desperately on the make.

In the last 6-8 months agentic software engineering has become a practical reality.and improved over that time.

Yeah, they were sitting around trying to bullshit people it was going to solve science and become your therapist (remember that era) then open clawd happened and they were like - fuck yes thank God lets bullshit about agents, why didn’t we think of that.

“They’ve been plateauing for 18 months” contradicts the experience of the people who use them. I’d say they’ve been useful for only half that time, and they’ve been getting rapidly better rapidly this year.

Do you know the current error rate on LLM legal queries? 70-90%. General relatively complex queries 20-30%. Its. A. Next most likely. Word. Autocomplete. It has. No fucking clue. What its spitting out. It has no ability to determine factual truth. It’s doing statistical token matching.