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I don't think there's much more reason to believe this than there was a year ago

More context

I see—am I misunderstanding OP then? I (and I believe @timkellogg.me) understood this to refer to the likelihood that AI "breaks" public key cryptography but it seems like he is saying something more like public key cryptography may be made illegal, which strikes me as much more plausible

> I’m concerned that U.S. intel and LE agencies are about to go dark, meaning: that they’re going to suddenly lose a huge portion of their capability. And that this isn’t going to be simply a problem for those agencies, but also for those of us who value computer security and privacy in general.

that sounds like crypto is broken, not made illegal, yeah?

he thinks the backdoors that govt relies on will be found

this is what I mean by making it illegal

oh yeah i just went and read the article. completely bonkers, but yeah, does seem likely