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uh yeah. so dumb. i only really started using AI for programming in earnest since opus 4.5. the difference being: before 4.5 came out, using AI made programming slower and more annoying than doing it myself. after it came out it made programming faster and nicer than doing it myself.
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AI is dumber than you are has always been true. until it's not. and from then on it will never be true again. bsky.app/profile/adle...
progress is linear yes, but AI being smarter than me was always false false false, and it will only become true once (and then remain true forever), so when it does happen that's a black swan event almost by definition