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This is bad news: the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere is one of the key factors controlling extreme rainfall. More water vapor, more extreme precipitation. The increase in atmospheric water vapor is due record-setting warmth, which is due to climate change + the brewing El Nino.

Thx a lot - would be nice if you track this signal further - to what extent will be get a new extreme. Does it happen faster than modeled? Just curious as we have now so many developments outside model range...

This really should be obvious since temperatures are the highest in 100k years. Satellite measurements of prw are more straightforward than T, making D&A easier. See Santer et al 2007 :Identification of Human-Induced Changes in Atmospheric Moisture Content. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

pnas.orgIdentification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content | PNASData from the satellite-based Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) show that the total atmospheric moisture content over oceans has increased by...