Post

Albert | Call the Map
@callthemap.com

First on our list of the Senate races that most often decide control: Minnesota. Flanagan is at 65 in 100 against Michele Tafoya. On the nights she wins, Democrats take the Senate 73 times in 100. On the nights she loses, 23.

Albert | Call the Map
@callthemap.com

Why only 65: it's an open seat, and the polls average D+3.5. Races move together, so part of that 73-to-23 gap is just what kind of night it is. callthemap.com/senate/minn...

callthemap.comMinnesota Senate 2026 forecast: Flanagan vs. TafoyaForecast as of October 25, 2026: Call the Map currently has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by D+2.1, with a 65 in 100 chance to win. This is an open seat. That result would keep the seat with Democrats. The current poll average is D+3.5; 19 public polls are recorded.

0 reposts0 likes

No replies yet.