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NEW ALASKA POLL: In a ranked-choice voting simulation of Alaska’s Senate race, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by three points (47%-44%) in the first round. After eliminating the non-incumbent Daniel Sullivan and Heikes, Peltola leads 51% to 49%.

Data for Progress

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In the race for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat, Republican Nick Begich leads nonpartisan candidate Bill Hill by six points in the first round (48%-42%). His lead narrows to 51%-49% once other candidates are eliminated.

Data for Progress

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In the governor’s race, Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads against three Republican candidates, with 46% of first-choice votes. In the final round of ranked-choice voting, Bronson and Taylor are eliminated, and Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson, 53%-47%.

Data for Progress

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Alaska voters are split, 48%-48%, on a measure to repeal the state’s open primaries, ranked-choice voting system, & campaign finance disclosure rules. The cost of living ranks as the top issue for Alaskans — and voters want to hear more about affordability and less about transgender athletes.

20/10/26, 6:15 pm0 reposts4 likes

Data for Progress

@dataforprogress.org

Read the full poll: www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/10...

dataforprogress.orgEvery Statewide Race in Alaska Is Close, as 7 in 10 Voters Worry About Affording Gas and FoodIn a ranked-choice voting simulation of Alaska’s Senate race, we find Democrat Mary Peltola leading Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in the final round, 51%-49%.