Data for Progress

Data for Progress

@dataforprogress.org

Equipping the progressive movement with the data and insights it needs to win. dataforprogress.org

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“Anyone with a few hundred dollars and Claude can claim to be a pollster now.” Real polling keeps getting harder while faking it has never been easier. Our Executive Director @rodonnell.bsky.social on what the Wedgewood scandal should and shouldn’t teach us: www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

dataforprogress.orgDon’t Take the Wrong Lessons from The Wedgewood Polls FiascoThere are already enough people in politics telling us what voters believe without bothering to ask them. Pollsters cannot be one of them.

This October is National Disability Employment Awareness Month, and new Data for Progress polling finds disabled voters face higher rates of financial strain. Nearly half (45%) of disabled voters say they are very stressed financially, compared with 25% of non-disabled voters.

Heading into the 2026 midterms, financial stress is at the forefront of voters’ minds. A new Data for Progress survey finds that the factor most correlated with voters’ financial stress is their level of debt — the strongest relationship of any measure we tested.

NEW POLL: A strong majority of voters think elected officials have done too little to prevent sexual assault. Women are especially likely to say so: 77% say officials have done too little, compared to 63% of men.

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Overall, a majority of voters say that college sororities and fraternities have a negative impact on campus culture, including a higher percentage of women (60%) than men (47%).

NEW POLL: A strong majority of voters think elected officials have done too little to prevent sexual assault. Women are especially likely to say so: 77% say officials have done too little, compared to 63% of men.

NEW ALASKA POLL: In a ranked-choice voting simulation of Alaska’s Senate race, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by three points (47%-44%) in the first round. After eliminating the non-incumbent Daniel Sullivan and Heikes, Peltola leads 51% to 49%.

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Alaska voters are split, 48%-48%, on a measure to repeal the state’s open primaries, ranked-choice voting system, & campaign finance disclosure rules. The cost of living ranks as the top issue for Alaskans — and voters want to hear more about affordability and less about transgender athletes.

NEW ALASKA POLL: In a ranked-choice voting simulation of Alaska’s Senate race, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by three points (47%-44%) in the first round. After eliminating the non-incumbent Daniel Sullivan and Heikes, Peltola leads 51% to 49%.

In the race for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat, Republican Nick Begich leads nonpartisan candidate Bill Hill by six points in the first round (48%-42%). His lead narrows to 51%-49% once other candidates are eliminated.

In the governor’s race, Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads against three Republican candidates, with 46% of first-choice votes. In the final round of ranked-choice voting, Bronson and Taylor are eliminated, and Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson, 53%-47%.

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A new @dataforprogress.org poll finds that 75% of likely voters — including more than two-thirds of Republican voters — “oppose legal immunity for oil and gas companies, shielding them from being held accountable for climate disaster damages.”

climateintegrity.orgPublic opposition to Big Oil immunity grows | Center for Climate IntegrityA new nationwide survey finds that 75% of likely voters oppose efforts to put oil and gas companies above the law

Data for Progress reposted

On Charting The Way Forward this week: We talk with Ryan O'Donnell of @dataforprogress.org about the increasing Bernification of Dems in the 3rd episode of our Closing Argument series. Great insights! Not your average punditry. 📺 www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CE2... 🍎 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

youtube.comThe Increasing Bernification of Dems (ft. Ryan O'Donnell) - Charting The Way Forward Ep 88YouTube video by Way to Win Action Fund

NEW POLL with Guardrails Action: Voters in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio say they are less likely to vote for a candidate who takes money from AI companies. On net, that penalty is larger than the penalty for voting to cut billions from Medicaid.

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NEW POLL with Guardrails Action: Voters in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio say they are less likely to vote for a candidate who takes money from AI companies. On net, that penalty is larger than the penalty for voting to cut billions from Medicaid.

About 3 in 4 voters in Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio think AI will increase billionaires’ wealth. But only about 1 in 5 think it will do the same for American workers.

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Voters overwhelmingly agree (76%) on a path to citizenship for immigrants who are authorized to work in the United States for over five years, have been paying taxes, have passed security checks, and who have no criminal record.

Voters also oppose current U.S. immigration enforcement policies: - 61% oppose ICE arresting immigrants at schools, churches, and hospitals - 68% agree the U.S. should not deport asylum seekers without hearings - 60% oppose third-country deportations

Our new polling finds that Americans have significantly reduced their participation in social activities over the last 30 years. There have been double-digit declines in Americans entertaining people in their homes, going to club meetings, and doing volunteer work since 1995.

In 1995, 88% of Americans said that they had entertained others in their home in the past year. In 2026, just 67% of Americans have done so — a 21-point decline. Church attendance has dropped by 20 points, and picnics and club meetings have dropped by 19 points.

Unfavorable attitudes toward Flock cameras carry across party lines. After reading a brief description of Flock cameras, voters, including Republicans, have a negative view of the technology. Those views hold even after reading arguments supporting and opposing the cameras.

Just because voters identify as “moderate” does not mean they are clamoring for conventional centrism. Most want candidates who will challenge billionaires and the political establishment. New op-ed from our Executive Director @rodonnell.bsky.social: thehill.com/opinion/camp...

thehill.comDon’t assume moderate Democrats crave centrismA voter can call themselves moderate and still want candidates who champion economic populism and challenge the political establishment.

Our polling finds that among self-identified moderates, a majority say billionaires are a sign of a dysfunctional economy. And while a majority of 2026 swing voters identify as moderate, they’re more interested in raising taxes on the wealthy than conservative cultural stances.

“Swing voters are not asking Democrats to split the difference on every issue. They want Democrats to advance tangible solutions to lower the cost of living and take on the powerful interests they believe are responsible for making their lives harder.” thehill.com/opinion/camp...

thehill.comDon’t assume moderate Democrats crave centrismA voter can call themselves moderate and still want candidates who champion economic populism and challenge the political establishment.

Our polling last year found that only 1 in 5 voters support this move. By a 37-point margin, voters say rules to limit CO2 pollution from coal- and gas-fired power plants should be left in place. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/6/...

The Environmental Protection Agency is repealing rules that limit planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions from power plants fueled by coal and natural gas, an action the agency said would save industry more than $300 billion in costs and help “unleash” American energy.

NEW: Neither political party is trusted to address corruption, with the Democratic Party distrusted by a -6-point margin and the Republican Party distrusted by a -12-point margin. Independents are far more skeptical of Republicans, rating Republicans -41 and Democrats -19.