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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 29% (+2) RFM: 23% (-1) CON: 19% (-2) LDM: 9% (-2) GRN: 9% (+2) SNP: 3% (=) RES: 2% (=) Via @survation.bsky.social, 29 Sep. Changes w/ 22-23 Sep.

30/9/26, 8:33 am19 reposts110 likes

Aphex Gwyn

@aphexgwyn.bsky.social

Only yesterday, YouGov had Reform on 25%(+4) and Labour on 24%. These polls are all over the place.

Matthew Keane

@keanezero12.bsky.social

Its all MOE. Its boring but very few things in politics cut through.

Matthew Keane

@keanezero12.bsky.social

Burnhams speech might have done might we need more polls

mikeinsdevon.bsky.social

@mikeinsdevon.bsky.social

House bias and margin of error? Say if Labour are really on 26% you'd expect to see some polls showing 24% and others showing 28-29%.

maxsec.bsky.social

@maxsec.bsky.social

Plus yougov had the 4 points that reform gained this week over greens the other way round.. seems largish swings.

Matthew Keane

@keanezero12.bsky.social

Was this done pre or post speech?

Andrew

@andtgk.eurosky.social

After bsky.app/profile/surv...

Survation.@survation.bsky.social

NEW: Where will the public land on Andy Burnham’s Triple Lock changes and National Care Service plans? Initial reactions to the PM’s speech in a poll of 1,548 adults in the UK interviewed in the hours after the speech on 29 September on behalf of Mandate Research 🧵1/9

joesoap.bsky.social

@joesoap.bsky.social

Nigel has blown it. Gets worse every week.

รℓσαɳε ℓყรɓεƭɦ

@sloanelysbeth.northsky.social

how despairing.

Poet Sue

@poetsue.bsky.social

This was after speech and also positive poll on changes to the triple lock for funding social care in ALL age groups. Labour are climbing up to where they were in election 2024!! I think Yougov are an outlier of all polls at the moment.

Rodney Marques

@rodneymarques.bsky.social

How far are the changes to the triple lock going to fund social care? Where's the rest coming from? Why isn't anyone asking this?

Rodney Marques

@rodneymarques.bsky.social

Survation's sampling doesn't seem quite as horrible as last week but still a lot of mess and weirdness in the tables.