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Andy Burnham wins Makerfield with a 20% lead over Reform UK. But this result wasn't just about Burnham. It was shored up by thousands of Green and Lib Dem voters who crossed party lines to keep the far-right out, delivering the Labour candidate an outright majority.🧵

Our tactical voting poll, conducted by @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, revealed the scale of progressive switching, with Green and Lib Dem voters in Makerfield saying they would back Burnham over their own party's candidate.

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You can see it in the results. The Green and Lib Dem candidates picked up just over 1% of the total vote: A combined swing of over 10%, lent directly to Andy Burnham.

This confirms Nigel Farage’s worst nightmare: that progressive voters have worked out how to beat Reform UK at the ballot box, just as they did with the Tories in 2024. Some are now saying he won’t be able to win a general election.