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You write about LLM as though there is a “RIGHT” word, and the LLM is not giving you that. LLM only ever gives you one of a range of probable responses to a query, and this simply guides the model to select a subset of those “Valid” responses. It may fail, but won’t give you worse responses.

Text watermarking reduces the diversity overall, which is a reduction in quality. The authors of the paper Antrhopic linked concede there is a "diversity/detectability trade-off" and that "the similarity between the responses is greater for the watermarked responses than the unwatermarked".

he made a lot of noise in his article about “the right” word being replaced for watermarking purposes. But LLM don’t pick words based on meaning, but on probability. Ask the same question 1 million times, and you’ll get thousands of variations.

If the answer you get to your single query could have come up in both watermarked and nonwatermarked responses, can you really say you were given a worse answer? The probability shifts, but it was always possible you would have gotten that exact response regardless. and you have accepted is as good

„My language – It’s the finest language in the world!“ then goes on to list two other languages and two people backing him up, one dude who did an interview once and one friend. Well, what did I expect from an american. Sure buddy, you’re all the greatest over there, but most of all so very humble.

I think I’ve come around to agreeing with you this week. I use AI a lot. Not much for writing. It is clear that humans are the purveyors of slop and they were producing it long before AI accelerated it. LinkedIn is the prime example of that as you mention in your post. Substack is example 2.

Conversely I believe that AI can also accelerate good ideas and quality content. We can take good ideas further using technology. That’s amazing. Anything like a watermark that could impede that progress may not be good. The question remaining is if, and how much, it really matters. Time will tell.

Very well written. I keep coming back to this code contribution rule I saw, where the only benchmark is “you need to convince me that you wrote this”. It changes the bar from “is this ai or not” to just plain “is this bad or good”, the same conclusion you’ve come to.

John knows all of this. He can repeat it all verbatim before you even say it What he can't do is simply understand that it's a very stupid hill to die on It's partly stubbornness, it's largely a weird EU hatred and also no small amount of boomer-brain

Agreed on the hill, stubbornness, and EU hatred. But A) GenX and B) I think it's AI psychosis. Even if you don't use it to write, if you're on it all the time asking questions, you get addicted to the conversation. And the conversation is mathematically optimized to keep you engaged.

Don't get the EU hatred, when it's easy enough to hate the consolidation of power in the US that has been engineered by oligarchs to extract all human culture and rent it back, and everyone still on X gets their brains cooked in a cesspool of white supremacy, AI slop, and grifting.

Gruber’s. I agree with your point on intentionality and am not trying to undermine your expertise. I agree that in general obviosuly LLM written text is awful to read. But that’s also not really what Gruber’s point is here

Experimenting with local models and Xcode coding assistant, it's just. Not writing. Helpful, but not writing. I can 'read' the output, but the only reason it's useful is because a compiler can check its truthiness. Generated plans aren't bad but they're recipes, not writing.

I set my local model to pretend to be a combination of LeGuin, Butler, Graeber, and the situationists. It was pretty funny for the first 3 days. Then it kept repeating itself and almost always talked about ledgers. It wasn't writing it was pattern matching.

I know you’ve not responded to most replies on here, but I’m genuinely curious about this specific sentence: “I read the output of LLMs every day.” Why? Overall I do agree that crap prose from a human is no better than crap prose from an LLM. But the crux for me is why do you use the LLM? 1/3

I’m not so concerned with the prose itself, though I haven’t found LLM text output to be good in that way. Instead, I care more about its *accuracy.* Why read a potentially false LLM summary if you could just read the original post instead? What value does an LLM bring you when… 2/3

there’s a non-zero chance that what it says is meaningfully different from the source? I mean this question with all respect as I’d assume, as a writer yourself, you would rather someone read your own words instead of an LLM’s approximated, maybe-correct summary of your writing. 3/3

One way to think of it is just like manipulating the seed in a PRNG. It’s just as “random” as it was before, but if you know the seed that was used you can deterministically predict the outcome.