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Why is this not reflected in the number of apps launched on the iPhone or Android stores, where the trendline shows no impact whatsoever since LLMs became mainstream?

That’s a very good question and I think it could be 3 different reasons 1. Walled garden app stores require paid accounts which isn’t worth it for unknown returns 2. The ops overhead is a current barrier for new devs to figure out 3. Deployment friction and LLM abilities delay mobile

We’re creating more code than we can maintain or understand. With an explosion of new code we’ll see a lot of the code go extinct Even current projects that seemed well supported with company backing are dying without dedicated resources to maintain it

Not invented here (NIH) is going to spread like a disease because “how hard could it be” is going to be normalized This is going to make more, bespoke implementations of common things like web servers which is going to further make it harder to maintain

I hadn't thought of the re-invent the wheel. But I'm always mindful of the security aspect, I expect we're in for some painful days in the weeks/months to come.

I think most companies - maybe not oss projects, but definitely companies - will tackle that with platform engineering and agent guidance files that point to approved components; it's why I've been urging people to manage agentic AI the way they manage low code (which is with a platform and catalog

It started happening before AI, good solid open source projects that people just had to keep fiddling with until they were bloated, or had so many breaking changes, every upgrade was a time sink (looking at you gradle)

We already suffered through Dreamweaver.