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delighted to have been able to chip in on this newly published paper by @wiktoriakozyra.bsky.social & @smfleming.bsky.social on how confidence “biases” arise from normative Bayesian models!

I won’t get into details, but there is a strong take home message: as experimentalists, we can present participants with a task. but how they choose to represent that task and reason over it is up to them!

on a final note, one thing I really like about this project is that it showcases a breadth of formal tools for cognitive science. when I joined the project, @wiktoriakozyra.bsky.social and @smfleming.bsky.social already had a number of convincing simulations and model fitting experiments

as a new postdoc, my role was mostly to add some related derivations and additional simulations. and even though all of these paths relied on different frameworks & assumptions, they all converge on the same result and mutually inform each other!

so, even with *no* data, there is nothing stopping us from drawing on a range of methods, frameworks, and assumptions to do integrative & interdisciplinary science