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it is literally my job to write and analyse about open social media and how adoption of it works, and i dont think that these X vs bsky Discourse posts are particularly interesting? glad everyone has a great time Discoursing about it tho ig

the only real value in post like Gruber's is that he's remarkably dull as a commentator? agreeing or disagreeing with his statements is not meaningful, because Grubers statements are not meaningful: he consistently interprets what he sees on his timeline as a representative of the entire network

Also, unfortunately, I think what these “one-person-with-a-massive-audience” folks do is very significant in terms of shifting people around.

yeah, these posts by gruber and newton function more as creating a permission structure. i think the open question is if they are a leading or lagging indicator tho, my sense is that they are lagging in the sense that this permission structure was already there