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Leon Simons
@leonsimons.com

"In the national defense arena, Vice President Cheney famously said that, if there is a one percent chance that Pakistani scientists are helping al-Qaeda build a nuclear weapon, “we have to treat it as a certainty in terms of our response.”" I estimate the chance of reaching 3°C by ~2050 to be >5%

Andrew Dessler@andrewdessler.com

Read it here: www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-worst-...

theclimatebrink.comThe Worst Case Is Still on the TableWhy removing RCP8.5 from the National Climate Assessment would be a serious mistake

12 reposts43 likes

Hugo
@nonviolence.bsky.social

How do you mean the next few years? SSP5-8.5 predicts 1.5° for 2035 and not 2025? We are currently at 1.8°C?

Hugo@nonviolence.bsky.social

"Beware the “surprise” record high being blamed on an extreme El Nino on top of global warming otherwise consistent with IPCC estimates. Instead, record warmth provides additional evidence of high climate sensitivity and increased net climate forcing in the past decade."