Post

"There's a critical detail missing from today's news stories about the @unep.org Emissions Gap Report They all say that under current policies, heating will 'rise to 2.8C', see 🧵 But that glosses over that if climate sensitivity should turn out to be high, heating is projected to be 3.4C" W.Lucht

11 reposts20 likes

Current policies, however, put the 🌎 on course for up to 4.5°C this century. Risk analysis needs to refer to a worst case, not a 2/3 case.

The chance to keep global warming below 1.5°C with no overshoot is gone. But urgent action can still limit the overshoot and bring warming back to 1.5°C by 2100. Current policies, however, put the 🌎 on course for up to 2.8°C this century. New #EmissionsGap Report: https://ow.ly/SNHX50ZZz8l

Focus almost exclusively on the best-case outcomes: The Guardian: "Policy has also not kept up with pledges: on current policies around the world, temperatures would rise to 2.8C." CNN: "If countries simply follow these current policies, then warming could reach a peak of about 2.8 C."