"There's a critical detail missing from today's news stories about the @unep.org Emissions Gap Report They all say that under current policies, heating will 'rise to 2.8C', see 🧵 But that glosses over that if climate sensitivity should turn out to be high, heating is projected to be 3.4C" W.Lucht
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"And with all uncertainties included, 4.5C are, while unlikely, not completely out of the question. Risk analysis needs to refer to a worst case, not a 2/3 case." - Wolfgang Lucht The @unep.org report: wedocs.unep.org/rest/api/cor...
Current policies, however, put the 🌎 on course for up to 4.5°C this century. Risk analysis needs to refer to a worst case, not a 2/3 case.
The chance to keep global warming below 1.5°C with no overshoot is gone. But urgent action can still limit the overshoot and bring warming back to 1.5°C by 2100. Current policies, however, put the 🌎 on course for up to 2.8°C this century. New #EmissionsGap Report: https://ow.ly/SNHX50ZZz8l
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