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The issue with the current revised numbers for the US economy is that the contraction period will happen after the fact, it won't be until late 2026 early 2027 when we start to see real contractions in the GDP. US imports will begin to scale up rather as US costs will continue to swell.

The design of US's current economic policy is to move back towards a consumption tax based system, using tariffs instead of passing congressional legislation. This is a poor economic concept for mass prosperity but functions effectively for key in groups with the US admin.

The issue with this focus is as more and more funds are sapped from the people into the coffers of the wealthy, US productivity will plummet as surplus capital has to go into servicing input costs rather than expansion investment. Wealthy corporations will realize chain productiveness loss in 2027.

Once the corporations begin to fully absorb costs against their loans that they took on during 2024, they will be forced into a stark reality of having to offshore key aspects of their business into other countries to reduce expenses. This will result in high end job loss.