poorlyinformed.bsky.social

Now that Canada's economy and it's sovereignty has been effectively assaulted again. The country will begin a second phase of unification. The first was political, the second is economic. The economic unification was already underway but now there is even greater impetus to do it faster than before.

We will begin to see more inter-provincial progress occur and more importantly expansion. The Federal government will begin it's second tranche of foreign trade rounds and draw itself closer to Europe and Asia. This will in turn expand and strengthen Canada's economy again.

The issue with the current revised numbers for the US economy is that the contraction period will happen after the fact, it won't be until late 2026 early 2027 when we start to see real contractions in the GDP. US imports will begin to scale up rather as US costs will continue to swell.

Unfortunately this will work like a one-two punch and will cause a second set of job losses at the retail and manufacturing level.

The issue with the current revised numbers for the US economy is that the contraction period will happen after the fact, it won't be until late 2026 early 2027 when we start to see real contractions in the GDP. US imports will begin to scale up rather as US costs will continue to swell.

The issue with this focus is as more and more funds are sapped from the people into the coffers of the wealthy, US productivity will plummet as surplus capital has to go into servicing input costs rather than expansion investment. Wealthy corporations will realize chain productiveness loss in 2027.

The issue with the current revised numbers for the US economy is that the contraction period will happen after the fact, it won't be until late 2026 early 2027 when we start to see real contractions in the GDP. US imports will begin to scale up rather as US costs will continue to swell.

As expected prices in the US are beginning to slowly climb up as the US-IRAN war continues to escalate. The limitless duration of it has now created enough instability in the market that affordability is gone. People will now burden themselves with debt to ride out the impact.

Canada will reposition it's economy towards the EU and Asia as a result, with leverage positions with South America. The US will still be a trade partner but will become uncompetitive as a result of their actions leading to a global economy that will maintain itself.

As expected prices in the US are beginning to slowly climb up as the US-IRAN war continues to escalate. The limitless duration of it has now created enough instability in the market that affordability is gone. People will now burden themselves with debt to ride out the impact.

US will now be faced with a harsh and complicated truth, that the only way to prevent interest levels from completely overtaking GDP growth is to raise taxes. The US admin will subtly advocate for raising taxes on the poor, this will be ruinous to the US economy's labour power.

As expected prices in the US are beginning to slowly climb up as the US-IRAN war continues to escalate. The limitless duration of it has now created enough instability in the market that affordability is gone. People will now burden themselves with debt to ride out the impact.

As we continue from the last month of summer into fall we can anticipate more slowing of the american economy as the inputs and outputs become mismatched inputs too high, output revenue too low. Additionally a slowing demand as prices increase across the US. The US admin will attempt an injection.

The US admin in the next two quarters will attempt to do economic damage control as the fuel crisis begins to have knock on effects to the summer economy. This will also play out in the US trade negotiations, which will turn USMCA deal into a non-free trade agreement. This position will be accepted.

The US will then request a new deal with the EU. The EU will hint that the US just negotiated a deal with the EU via through Canada. That will be it. The USMCA deal will still be deployed, but Canada will be in the EU at the same time. Mexico and US will have EU access through Canada via USMCA.

The US admin in the next two quarters will attempt to do economic damage control as the fuel crisis begins to have knock on effects to the summer economy. This will also play out in the US trade negotiations, which will turn USMCA deal into a non-free trade agreement. This position will be accepted.

Once accepted, Canada will use the change on the USMCA deal as a viable argument to move their CETA deal into a free trade deal with the EU. Which will then allow Canada a "special relationship" into the EU. Canada will argue EU proximity clause via Greenland and St. Pierre Islands.

Over the next few months we are going to witness the US economy begin it's next slow down phase, this is where we see the tariff/energy choke start to grind down into the US investment power. The US admin will attempt stupidly to change the narrative about the reasons why these things are happening.

When the economy pulls off course and begins to drag the the US Fed will be forced to slowly draw up the interest rates. Input costs will be high, interest rates will be high and more importantly output revenue will be reduced. This will cause economic stall. Normally in periods like this..

Over the next few months we are going to witness the US economy begin it's next slow down phase, this is where we see the tariff/energy choke start to grind down into the US investment power. The US admin will attempt stupidly to change the narrative about the reasons why these things are happening.

The second part is that when the USFed tries to artificially lower interest rates it will cause inflation to skyrocket. These two actions when combined with the current tariff/energy choke will be like engaging the anchor of the ship while pushing ahead full with the remainder of your fuel...

Over the next few months we are going to witness the US economy begin it's next slow down phase, this is where we see the tariff/energy choke start to grind down into the US investment power. The US admin will attempt stupidly to change the narrative about the reasons why these things are happening.