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Rhodium Group
@rhg.com

New: We estimate that in 2025, US greenhouse gas emissions increased by 2.4%, marking a change from the prior two years of decreases in emissions. Emissions also grew faster than the economy in 2025, reversing the decoupling of emissions and economic activity of the prior two years.

Rhodium Group
@rhg.com

The increase in emissions was driven by a rise in coal electricity generation due to higher natural gas prices and growing power demand. Colder winter temperatures also drove higher space heating demand in buildings, pushing up direct emissions from fuel use in buildings.

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Rhodium Group
@rhg.com

US emissions in 2025 were not meaningfully impacted by the federal policy changes in 2025, but we project that those policy changes could have increasing effects in the years to come. Read more in our new note: rhg.com/research/us-...

rhg.comPreliminary US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimates for 2025Based on preliminary economic and energy activity data, we estimate that in 2025, US greenhouse gas emissions increased by 2.4%, marking a change from the prior two years of decreases in emissions.