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Takaichi and Koizumi go into a runoff, as expected. Her popularity with the rank and file was key - she won over 40% of membership votes (Koizumi got 28%). Weird upsets do happen in the runoffs, but note that Takaichi didn't even come second in her colleagues' votes - she was third behind Hayashi.

4/10/25, 5:04 am2 reposts10 likes

🐇 misses xlov @ filial piety arc ☆ミ

@usapyons.bsky.social

4 Oct 2025

This is gonna get interesting

Rob Fahey

@robfahey.net

4 Oct 2025

The expectation now would be that most of Hayashi's votes will transfer to Koizumi, while most of Motegi and Kobayashi's votes will transfer to Takaichi, which would give Koizumi a narrow win. It won't be quite so tidy - lots of personality factors and loyalties of various kinds are also in play.