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This chart got a lot of response when I posted it a couple of months ago, so I kept digging beyond just Calgary. Turns out the Alberta-wide data tells much the same story, which I think helps explain the province’s recent mood. I fleshed out my thoughts here. Would be interested in yours!

robsonfletcher.comWhy Albertans don't feel as rich as they are · Robson FletcherTwo decades of astounding growth have been followed by a decade of decline and stagnation. That affects the psyche.
Robson Fletcher@robsonfletcher.com

Calgarians continue to have the highest incomes among major Canadian cities — but they’re earning significantly less than they were at their peak. This, I think, gets at a fundamental disconnect in the national conversation about Alberta’s sense of frustration. 🧵

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It shows very much how perception is the main driving force of dissatisfaction and, subsequently, grievance. Even though, objectively, Albertans still have it much better than most of their fellow Canadians.

Really good context. You're a lot more empathetic than I am. For me, it was always a Party Province that didn't like it when the lights came on. Jim Prentice, as much as he was an architect of it, was correct to tell Albertans to look in the mirror.

I think part of the problem with “look in the mirror” was that Prentice represented the government that made all the decisions that got us there, and thought everyone understood that PC=Alberta=everybody. But a lot of voters said “you’ve been in charge this whole time—how is this our fault?”

That's such a good analogy. And it reminds me of this literal example of the shift that happened amid the 2014-15 oil-price crash: corporate Calgary Christmas parties had be to pared back and could no longer include "acrobats pouring champagne from the ceiling."

cbc.caEconomic downturn 'killed' corporate Calgary's Christmas parties | CBC NewsEvent planner David Howard is used to planning elaborate, red-carpet Christmas parties for his corporate clients, which include everything from acrobats pouring champagne from the ceiling to skaters p...

Alberta's oil boom was mainly a tar sands plant construction boom because Alberta chose to focus on selling raw bitumen. The oil companies are enjoying record profits while slashing jobs and investments. Albertans are right to be angry but not at Ottawa.

Well said! 20 years ago, Premier Stelmach warned that this could become a problem. In the boom of '07 there were kids dropping out of high school and heading to Fort Mac for some incredibly high-paying jobs. They'd park an $80,000 truck at YEG and fly to Fort Mac and pick up their other $80k truck.

Yeah, I remember chatting at the time with an acquaintance who did job placement for youth, and she was concerned that young men were abandoning education as soon as possible so they could work in the patch.

It wasn't just Stelmach who was aware of this. Many people have been worried for a very long time ago that we were on a bad trajectory because many young people were dropping out of high school and foregoing education to take insanely well paying but ephemeral jobs.

Cool presentation of your research. I think theres a small typo in the paragraph above fig2. (Alberta/Manitoba)

we had Rachel Notley NDP in a period of no oil value she was premier until 2019 we had the highest minimum wage in Canada now we have the lowest she rebuilt much of AHS that Klein destroyed & built the Tom Baker Cancer hospital started a Superlab in Edmonton that Kenney bulldozered now Smith