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while I do think Trump could win, I don't agree with the reasoning here www.unpopularfront.news/p/trump-can-...

median Republican primary voters--ie Mark Robinson-style bug eyed freaks shouting incoherent nonsense at a city council meeting, who hold a dozen positions polling at less than 20%--do not remotely constitute a majority of voters

the reason it's neck and neck imo is a) ~all major media sources, online and off, are either right-wing or centrists compulsively laundering Trump's extremism and b) a lot of people are dumb bsky.app/profile/shar...

if Trump wins and all prices go up 20 percent and his white nationalist militia thugs are kicking doors in and dragging families out into the street, millions of people will go "buh what? I wasn't voting for *that*"

"wait, I'm being kicked off my health insurance? why didn't someone tell me this was going to happen?"

"Donald J. Trump started the most deranged war in US history and it's doubled the price of car sauce? nobody could have predicted, I am VERY upset" bsky.app/profile/greg...

"I can't believe the Deport All the Latinos candidate is deporting Latinos in my district. I was completely blindsided by this" bsky.app/profile/phil...