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Move over, GLM-HMM—there’s a new hidden Markov model in town. In our new preprint, we introduce the DDM-HMM: a model that jointly infers latent decision states from reaction times and choices. Using 24-hour behavioral data from rats, we found that evidence accumulation changes with time of day!

bioRxivpreprint@biorxivpreprint.bsky.social

Diurnal rhythms of choice: a novel state-dependent drift diffusion model uncovers time-dependent changes in rat decision making https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.05.25.727672v1

Our new model revealed “patient,” “impulsive,” and low-drift decision states that wax and wane across the light-dark cycle. We found that regardless of how good individual animals were, at the population level all animals accumulated evidence more effectively during the dark cycle!

And the best part? Our new model was implemented fully in #JuliaLang. So check out our preprint and learn about the DDM-HMM; accumulating evidence suggests it’s the hottest new behavioral time series model!

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