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A lot of my policy & political positions are informed by an underlying view that the status quo is carrying us at an accelerating rate toward various intersecting apocalypses, that hopes of changing course are pretty slim, & that the urgency of the situation warrants taking some big risks.

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Many times in my life I've seen my cohort say something along the lines of, "let's not eat this half-ass shit sandwich, let's hold out for the good & righteous world we want," which sounds good in a speech, but in practice has just led to worse & worse choices, bigger & bigger shit sandwiches.

It is often, when you find yourself in a hole, a good idea to stop digging it deeper. Maybe this is one of those other times, where more digging will help? But maybe not. Wasn't it just a year ago when folks were telling us Datacenters weren't going to impact power and water demand all that much?

At this point -- though I try not to communicate in this register all the time, as it's exhausting to me & to readers -- I think something close to panic is warranted & that anything with even a hope of knocking us off our current trajectory, even a little bit, is worth desperately clutching.

For obvious reasons "desperate triage/harm reduction" is not a popular or particularly inspiring pursuit. It's not going to fire people up or activate them. It's not going to get normies out to vote or whatever. So I don't talk about it much. But for me at least, it's always there in the background.

I agree. Australia’s Greens stalled Labor’s social housing policy. Labor’s policy is half assed sh*t on a “go slow” for max publicity with minimum progress intended to put more $$$ in landlord’s hands while we need a return to public housing. Greens wanted more. Take crumbs, shout “WE WANT BETTER”

The problem is that the "emergencies" that the nomenklatura hype up & convince people require these not-great policies to handle are rarely the actual disasters ahead, & frequently aren't real at all. (eg "national debt") Basically we can't trust them. I don't know how we get something better.

"accelerating rate toward various intersecting apocalypses". Yep! "Try not too communicate in the register all the time". yep! "I think something close to panic is warranted". Yep! Wile E. Coyote is off the cliff, but he hasn't looked down yet. Surreal being surrounded by BAU behaviour.

~$3k is 10kw of panels, and a ~$3K inverter, mounting racks, 2 roof guys and an electrician. Feds pay 50% of hardware, outright. Batteries free, utilities pay 50%. Train, certify crews, standard prices, fed loans. Every roof, in 10 years. 30 years of electricity. Fuck it, just do them all.

I’m hoping for the “small heart attack”, the minor survivable apocalypse that’ll create the impetus for change. Absent that I don’t see any governing capacity for big bets outside of China.

Fully agree. Also, the risk in doing the same thing as before is often dramatically underestimated. “Staying the course” is very risky in rapidly changing world.

At this point I'm kinda betting on the robots to replace us before we destroy everything and I'm not super sure that's a bad thing.

More people should be communicating in this register, things are bad, real bad, and it’ll take coordinated effort to make them better

This first post sounds as if you think we need to take big risks on going for transformative policies and I agree. The rest seem to argue for any incremental improvement—don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good. I certainly have been part of many such policy decisions in the past. Which?

Given rising concerns around government debt coupled with the need for countries to actually spend money on climate action, 0% financing for countries (including a refinance) is my "big bet" on the future.

It's not really that big a bet, since we recently saw government debt at negative interest rates. Getting governments to *do something useful* with literally free money, though, turned out to be impossible.

How would that work? You could default on interest on existing debt and turn it into 0% interest (or negative if you also default on part of the principal) but how do you refinance at 0%?