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How has the US added housing supply since 2000? Are conservative places building a lot more than liberal places? In new research, I show that: —Additional homes were disproportionately in high-income, conservative, greenfield areas —BUT infill growth was more likely to be located in liberal areas

tandfonline.comThe Paradox of Housing Supply Growth: Conservative Sprawl and Liberal Infill in the 21st-Century United StatesHousing affordability is declining in the United States. To explain this phenomenon, many scholars and policymakers point to slowing construction, which they argue is particularly troublesome in co...

The question of what places are adding housing supply most quickly has become a subject of avid political debate. There's a frequently repeated claim that conservative communities are more accepting of new homes than are liberal places, which, many argue, "aren't building enough."

And, overall, that story is true. Between 2000 & 2020, more conservative metropolitan areas like Houston & Phoenix added many more homes than liberal ones like Chicago & New York City. Ideologically conservative regions are adding homes more quickly.

The story becomes more complicated when examining *where* homes were added in each metro area, though! Liberal metropolitan areas like NYC & Seattle added many more homes near existing homes than did most conservative metro areas. That means their residents experienced more nearby construction.

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Liberal metropolitan areas like NYC & Seattle are highly desirable areas to move to, as opposed to most conservative metro areas. (Birmingham, Alabama, anybody? Oklahoma City?) That means their residents have a wide variety of housing to choose from, including new construction. That's bad, is it?

When I examined trends among cities, I found that cities with more conservative residents added housing much more quickly... *But* more liberal cities added much more housing in infill areas. Liberal cities did a better job adding homes through construction in existing neighborhoods.

My findings reaffirm that liberal places are doing a poor job adding homes. BUT they also show that conservative places are doing a poor job adding homes other than on greenfields—as in, outside existing neighborhoods. Journal article: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Free pre-print version ⏬

urban.orgThe Paradox of Housing Supply GrowthIn this research, I explore how housing supply changed in cities, counties, and metropolitan areas between 2000 and 2020.