Alex Alekseev

Alex Alekseev

@aalexee.bsky.social

Behavioral/experimental/labor economist interested in AI/robots/automation. Assistant Professor at the University of Regensburg, former Chapman ESI postdoc, GSU AYSPS grad. 🇷🇺-🇺🇸-🇩🇪 aalexee.com

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🥳 Stoked to share that our paper with Christina Strobel, "A Taxonomy of Al Experiments," has been accepted at the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics! Huge thanks to Christina for collab and to the reviewers for extremely helpful feedback! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... #EconSky

papers.ssrn.comA Taxonomy of AI ExperimentsWe introduce a taxonomy of artificial intelligence (AI) experiments. Our taxonomy produces four types of AI experiments: conceptual AI experiments, stylized AI

If you are on the market and it feels tough, know this. You are amazing. You have come this far, be proud of yourself. Rejection hurts, but you are not your rejection. Know your worth, shine your light.

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Clearly, what changes here is the number of non-winning combinations. If you buy m tickets, then this number is "n-m choose k". And then we compute the probability of winning as before, although it does not simplify nicely.

Plugging in the duck race numbers, n=6000, k=100, m=3, we get about a 5% chance of winning. We didn’t win, but on the plus side it was the most rubber ducks I’ve ever seen 🦆

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What if you bought more than one ticket, though? What is the probability of having at least one ticket win? It cannot be simply the sum of probabilities of a single ticket winning.

Let’s start slow. Suppose there are four tickets (A,B,C,D). But now assume that you bought tickets A and B. There are still six possible combinations of two tickets: AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD. But now five of them lead to a prize, hence the probability of winning is 5⁄6.

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Then the number of winning combinations is the difference between the total number of combinations and the number of non-winning combinations. After some algebra, it turns out that the probability of winning is simply k/n.

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It is easy to see the pattern. If there are n tickets in total and k randomly chosen tickets win, the total number of possibilities, which is the number of combinations of k elements from the set of n elements, is simply "n choose k".

But what is the number of winning combinations? It seems that it is easier to find the number of non-winning combinations. This is just the total number of combinations of k elements that do not include our ticket: "n-1 choose k".

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Now suppose there are 4 tickets (A,B,C,D). Again, you have A, two tickets win. Possible pairs are: AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD. You win in three pairs, hence the chance of winning is 1/2

If 1 ticket wins out of 6,000, and you bought 3 tickets, your chance of winning is 3/6000. But what if 100 tickets win? That’s less obvious. Let's build intuition through simple examples

Big thanks to @fialalenka.bsky.social and @i4replication.bsky.social for the replication games in Brno. It was fun. We loved the songs! 🤘

Lenka Fiala@fialalenka.bsky.social

The Brno Replication Games were a success!🥳 Many thanks to our awesome replicators who spotted a range of coding errors and fixed incorrectly specified models. Many thanks also to @econmuni.bsky.social for having us: you are the reason economists love coming back every year😊

iOS autocorrects “tex” as “Tex” It autocorrects “xetex” as “XeTeX” It does not autocorrect “latex” Can you guess what it autocorrects as “listed”? 🤔

🎉 Excited to share that my paper "The (Statistical) Power of Incentives" has been accepted at the Journal of the Economic Science Association! @ecscienceassoc.bsky.social Thanks to everyone who helped me on this journey. ssrn.com/abstract=408... #EconSky

ssrn.comThe (Statistical) Power of IncentivesI study the optimal design of monetary incentives in experiments where incentives are a treatment variable. I propose a novel framework called the Budget Minimi
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Remember, your .tex file is just text. Use any editor you like. Dedicated LaTeX editors are great for typesetting, but you can use other editors. Share your LaTeX writing tips below! 👇

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4/ Natural AI experiments These take place in real-world settings, such as A/B tests run by organizations. AI is used as it would be outside the study. These experiments achieve maximum external validity.

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1/ Conceptual AI experiments These experiments use AI as a label or framing device, no AI is actually implemented. Common in vignette or survey-based studies. They are easy to run but have low external validity

I've been receiving so much spam from the Journal of This or the Journal of That and the like lately that I am starting to think why don't they just combine their efforts and do the "Journal of Everything Everywhere All at Once"