Asa Dotzler

Asa Dotzler

@asadotzler.com

Sir Robin's minstrel Stupid fat hobbit Retired Netscape/Mozilla https://asadotzler.com

717 followers763 following5.8K posts

Incomplete thoughts: Big Tech and the neoclouds (GPU-as-a-Service) have a combined debt of about $600B. Neoclouds own 10% of it. All critically depend on continuous borrowing. Sounds like lenders have had enough with neoclouds. Neoclouds crumble. OAI, Anthropic, Google, MS: all AI work collapses.

Decoding the headlines so you don't have to: "Meta plans to raise $95B to finance its AI infrastructure, including $35B in public equity offerings, backed by cornerstone investors Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom" Meta is borrowing tens of billions from chip makers to spend buying more chips from them.

Decoding the headlines so you don't have to: "SpaceX agrees to a ~$40B equipment finance lease with Apollo" SpaceX is borrowing $40B more for GPUs.

If you're interested in foldable phone form factors, don't be dissuaded by noise a out the "crease". In practice, it goes unnoticed. Your fingers and eyes won't care. I used an early generation quite a bit, before teardrop hinges "solved" the last of the real crease problems. Today it's just fine.

"A magician never reveals his secrets" Don't be a magician. Be a wizard. Reveal all of your tricks and still beat them.

We should rebrand AI and agents to "good enough automation" or some other dismissive and sufficiently nerdy label. Let's stop carrying water for Big Tech PR and Marketing.

A friend in an online group shared a flyer from the eviction party he hosted in my 5th year. OMG, the memories that flooded in. Genuinely shocked how far I could trace various "sub-memories" branching from there. One picture was access to a large and meaningful part of my mind. Brains are so cool.

Seeking a pen pal to exchange hand written, snail mail letters on the sorts of topics I post here. I want to exercise some muscles that have no-doubt atrophied since my communities first began moving online and I have fond pen pal memories from my youth. I'd really commit :D DM if interested.

"According to Meta ... Quest headset sales are declining, however AI glasses are growing fast enough to partially offset a slump in Reality Labs revenue" Pervert glasses only "partially" offset the decline of video game VR goggles. Zuck's multi-billion dollar boondoggles are piling up.

The best possible spin from leading VR publications bodes ill for strap-on facial PCs. Reminder: Zuck pivoted all of Facebook, for well over half a decade, with tens of billions of dollars, all for a few million (!! MILLION !!) active headset users. Zuck is a one-hit wonder if ever there was one.

roadtovr.comMeta Confirms Lower Quest Sales, Says New VR Headsets Must Deliver "major breakthroughs"According to Meta’s recent quarterly earnings report, Quest headset sales are declining, however AI glasses are growing fast enough to partially offset a slump in Reality Labs revenue. And moving forw...

Three days ago, I did all the things you're not supposed to, and though I've inspected my laptop (and ones connected to it,) about as well as can be done without JTAG, and found nothing, I'm still anxious. Should I take it out to the drill press for some fun? Or take a chill pill & assume the best.

My bank: "Please remember that your username and password should never be shared with another person or provided to an outside service, including an AI-enabled tool or agent that offers to act on your behalf."

iPhone Duo hinge parts are snapping off and destroying screens. Apple will of course replace those phones, but it's a shame Apple allowed that failure to hit customers. There was a time when Apple solved those kinds of things before releasing. Today, the company seems to be rushing everything.

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My guess? The hinge is a 100 part assembly, all cast, rolled, milled, etc. then hand assembled. For weight savings, some of them are very thin and fragile with low tolerance for deviations in production or assembly. Bad set of castings? Exhausted workers fumbling parts? Something like that I think.

But these problems get ironed out. The metalwork gets dialed in, under less pressure and more comfortable with the process, workers settle into routine, and things get smooth. Early yields are poor: low volume or low quality. If Apple wanted either or both, it should have postponed the launch.

The room we sleep in has six large skylights. 99% of the time I love them. Living in a redwood forest means very little direct sunlight and the skylights give us what of it there is. Tonight is the 1%. This outrageously bright full moon is shining right through my eyelids. How'm I supposed to sleep!

iPhone Duo hinge parts are snapping off and destroying screens. Apple will of course replace those phones, but it's a shame Apple allowed that failure to hit customers. There was a time when Apple solved those kinds of things before releasing. Today, the company seems to be rushing everything.

To clarify, IMO, the rushing was not in design but in manufacture. Reports said yields were low and inventory at release was definitely low. Apple could have waited for manufacturing partners to irone out the kinks, but it didn't, and units that should have failed quality checks probably shipped.

I do not use generative AI to write any of my posts here. I occasionally use it as a synonym finder and for extracting text or tabular data from images. If you see an em-dash or other AI-isms, trust that it was my fingers on the keyboard transcribing thoughts from my brain.

Give a Firefox bookmark a memorable keyword, and opening that page is as easy as typing the keyword into the address bar. ① Firefox menu ➛ Bookmarks ➛ Manage Bookmarks ② Locate and select the bookmark and give it a keyword. ③ Type the keyword into the address bar and hit Enter.

You can also use keywords to make searching a site easy. ① Perform a site search and bookmark it ② In Manage bookmarks, delete the search term from the URL and replace it with %s ③ Give the bookmark a keyword Now, typing the keyword and any search term loads the search results from that site.

Final testing of my Firefox extension for posting transparent PNGs to Bluesky without the Bluesky web interface crushing them down against a solid background. \o/

Old, but it bears repeating: I do not like or use the term "pirating" for acquiring digital content. Pirates steal. I do not. I am not depriving anyone of anything. My attention and money were never on the table, so no one faces any loss; there is, therefore, no theft.

I don't want more physical media. I want ownership. Until I get that, I'm satisfied just taking what I want, to use how I want, for as long as I want. P2P + NAS, FTW

Goldman Sachs CEO on AI’s economic impact: ‘There’s very little that we do where we need frontier models’ We spent 2026 being told that generative AI was transforming society. Now we're back to "just wait until the next model!" boostering. Well, it turns ou, few need or want that next model.

The Information: Replit recently moved most AI spend from Anthropic to OpenAI, which gave 30%+ off in a deal worth $100M+/year, after Anthropic discontinued its discount. Where's the moat? Sounds to me like AI services are already just another tech commodity, easily swapped when prices warrant.

Apollo: "AI does not understand accountability, trust, culture, unwritten rules, ethical trade-offs or fairness, all of which shape reputational risk and ultimately drive revenue growth and profit margins."

Apollo: "With no impact on the bottom line, mainstream corporate America is pulling back and starting to view token spending not as a source of growth but as a cost center that weighs on margins."

Unprecedented! Revolutionary! World-changing! Turns out, it's pretty much useless outside of tech. Apollo Global Management: "Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech."

And I'd challenge that claim of tech sector payoff. It's been *7 years* since GPT was "too dangerous to release" and not one piece of commercial software I use is better than it was then. Not one! If AI is paying off in tech, that reward isn't going to tech users, that's for damn sure.

"Volume is not value. AI is creating a reckoning for organizations that lack fundamental disciplines, such as defining use-case value ahead of time and establishing criteria for when to walk away." "When to walk away" has entered the building. Alicia Mullery, VP Analyst at Gartner

The healthcare network where I get primary and sarcoidosis care has in-house labs and its own EHR, so I was safe there from Quest's incompetence. Sadly, the hospital where I get my colonoscopies is exclusive with Quest -- and of course it's connected to my main provider Records, tests, billing :(

Windows Pro Tip: To extract text from images, or anywhere else it might be difficult or impossible, use Windows Key + Shift + T. You can also reach this feature via the Snipping Tool, Windows Key + Shift + S.

Are you a digital hoarder, holding on to things you're unlikely to ever revisit? My partner is a tab hoarder. Last I asked, she had about 3,000 Firefox tabs open. I am a tab minimalist, with 6 pinned tabs and rarely more than about 5 others. My hoarding happens in email :D

Two weeks into the free trial and my Firefox extension is nearly complete. Bluesky destroys PNG alpha transparency, flattening images against a black background. I've fixed this with an extension that uses the Bluesky API to keep transparency intact. The dev experience has been slow but workable.

Asa Dotzler@asadotzler.com

Every 3-4 months, I pay for (or get free) 1 month of frontier AI, where I fuck around looking for anything useful. This month I'm spending all my (limited) time with it on an ambitious Firefox extension I've been drafting for about a year. From earlier explorations, I'm cautiously optimistic.

My takeaway this time is about the same as last time: without an understanding of how software actually works and what it takes to build for others, generative AI will fail you in ways you can't identify -- but your users certainly will.

Trees grow from the top, not the base. The top of a tree's main stem is called the apical tip. As it grows, the tip releases a hormone called auxin that stunts lower branches ensuring it remains the leading stem. (If an apical stem is destroyed, the auxin stops, and lower branches may take over.)

Very Important Journalist: "We asked a billionaire CEO what he thought about a tax on billionaires. Here's what he said."

The POS that runs Anthropic's security organization: "it was always going to be this way. we tried to warn the world." That man deserves prison. "We warned you our product was exceptionally dangerous, but you didn't stop us so we had no choice except to unleash it on the world." Motherfuckers.

Discord sucks for a lot of reasons, but one that's particularly irksome is its Windows app custom window controls that use the wrong icons and sit in the wrong place.

Remember how Google promised it wouldn't use your Gmail account for ads? Well, Google's piece of shit CEO, Sundar Pichai, just reneged on that promise. Google will be reading your emails to bombard you with even more precisely targeted ads. It's time to leave Gmail. And fuck Big Tech!

BTW, I've met Sundar several times. He used to lead the Chrome team. I speak from experience when I call him a piece of shit. He's an entirely garbage human being.

Microsoft's bringing 3 new touchpad features to Windows. I'm using them now in pre-release. They should be great for people with various mobility/dexterity challenges. Accelerated scrolling is in the public Windows releases today. Edge scrolling and single-finger scrolling are coming soon.

There's a lot of talk about how writing code is only one part of making software. This is true. The talk that's not happening as much is how making software is only one part of making a business. Nearly 7 years since "GPT too dangerous to release" and not a single new major player or killer app.