Bruegel

3 Dec 2024

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buff.lyGovernment change in Serbia could reinvigorate the EU prospects of all Western Balkan countriesThe programme of Serbia’s student-led election victors aligns in many areas with what the European Union wants from the largest Western Balkan country

⚡Government change in Serbia could reinvigorate the EU prospects of all Western Balkan countries The programme of Serbia’s student-led election victors aligns in many areas with what the EU wants from the largest Western Balkan country ✒️ By @nina-vujanovic.bsky.social buff.ly/rB5g3zo

Bruegel reposted

12h

Highly fragmented European electricity market this weekend. Wholesale prices in the tens for much northern and western Europe, but a clear break to Italy (at > €200/MWh) with transmission bottlenecks and gas setting the price. european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/8ESHsQ

13h

📊 The October 2026 update for the China Economic Database is out now! 🔬 FOCUS: China’s expanding research effort and what it means for Europe 🔗 Explore the dataset: buff.ly/VoLD42f 🖋️ @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social Robin Schindowski, Théo Storella and Jianwei Xu #EconSky

buff.lyWhy AI goes rogue and what can be done about itThere are technical, political and behavioural responses to rogue AI, but risks cannot be fully eradicated

15h

❓Why AI goes rogue and what can be done about it There are technical, political and behavioural responses to rogue AI, but risks cannot be fully eradicated 📑 Read the Analysis by Bertin Martens 🔗 buff.ly/Titq3P6

Bruegel reposted

Jacques Delors Centre

@delorsberlin.bsky.social

"If European companies list abroad, we risk a sovereignty slide." 🎙️ In the latest episode of @bruegel.org's 'The Sound of Economics' podcast, our Policy Fellow @marleneschoerner.bsky.social joined the discussion on why equity financing matters for innovation in Europe. Listen here 👇

open.spotify.comEquity finance for defence and innovation

Bruegel reposted

🆕 Proposing heating efficiency standards for Europe Our argument for why a new heating efficiency standard would be a sound basis for a future EU market mechanism to push heat pumps www.bruegel.org/analysis/pro... /3

buff.lyProposing heating efficiency standards for EuropeA new heating efficiency standard would be a sound basis for a future EU market mechanism to push heat pumps

🔥 Proposing heating efficiency standards for Europe A new heating efficiency standard would be a sound basis for a future EU market mechanism to push heat pumps 📑 Read the Analysis by Benjamin Bjerkan-Wade & @bmcwilliams.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/9OitN56

📈Equity finance for defence and innovation💡 💶How can new European companies find funding? 🗣️@marleneschoerner.bsky.social ( @delorsberlin.bsky.social), in conversation with host @rebeccawire.bsky.social and Louise Tumchewics (Royal Danish Defence College) #EconSKy 🔊Listen now: buff.ly/vdbd0FV

📊 Chart of the week: GDP per capita and relative price level, EU countries (% of eight advanced EU countries) 📑 Read the Policy Brief by @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social and Gene Frieda on '#Hungary’s path to the euro' 🔗 buff.ly/MoW9rEL #EconSky

buff.lyFrom fragmented procurement to a European defence marketEuropean defence procurement remains fragmented as no initiative yet pairs a large pooled order book with binding reciprocal market access

🧩 From fragmented procurement to a European #defence market 📑 Read the Policy Brief by Gene Frieda 🔗 buff.ly/TKrs1xK #EconSky

🗣️ Paulina Dejmek Hack (DG FISMA, European Commission) speaking at one of our recent events, "Priorities and trade-offs for the next round of EU banking reform". ❓What should be the aims of EU banking reform? 📽️ Catch up on the recording: buff.ly/MR0jjpa

Bruegel reposted

@tagliapietra.bsky.social

Bulgaria is out in front of European peers for relative capacity of batteries connected to the grid, huge progress in the last two years 👇 european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/VUtyMw

Bruegel reposted

Simone Tagliapietra

🔋 Bulgaria's battery storage capacity is 5.6 GWh, equivalent to 5.6% of daily demand. This is by far the highest in Europe. The Bulgarian battery boom goes hand in hand with rapid solar PV deployment: From 2022 to 2025, the share of solar in the country's electricity generation rose from 4 to 18%.

bruegel.orgEquity finance for defence and innovationHow can new European companies find funding without getting a loan?

🎙️NEW PODCAST: Equity finance for defence and innovation💡 In this episode @rebeccawire.bsky.social speaks about financing European innovation with @marleneschoerner.bsky.social ( @delorsberlin.bsky.social ) and Louise Tumchewics (Royal Danish Defence College) #EconSky 🔊Listen now: buff.ly/vdbd0FV

buff.lyHow flexible are European Union governments willing to be to facilitate further enlargement?The European Commission plans to mitigate member states’ reluctance on enlargement and push candidates to speed up accession-related reforms

❓How flexible are European Union governments willing to be to facilitate further enlargement? The Commission plans to mitigate member states’ reluctance on enlargement and push candidates to speed up accession-related reforms 📑 Read the First Glance by Marek Dabrowski 🔗https://buff.ly/M3SYbsT

🚗Can Europe stay in the driving seat? The automotive industry at a crossroads 📅03 November 2026 | 13:00-14:00 This event will discuss the EU automotive sector's with: @tagliapietra.bsky.social, Vittoria Ferraris, Ignacio Garcia Bercero, Bertrand L'Huillier & William Todts 🔗Register buff.ly/hLohm1b

Bruegel reposted

bruegel.orgChina’s outbound AI strategy starts with models and governance and ends with chipsBeijing is strategically planning to export AI rules and models before its chips; how should Europe engage?

Sharing the article that I co-author with Théo Storella for @bruegel.org : " #China’s outbound #AI strategy starts with models and governance and ends with #chips". www.bruegel.org/analysis/chi...

Bruegel reposted

Simone Tagliapietra

@tagliapietra.bsky.social

NEW🚨The new Franco-German agreement on the future of the automotive industry risks undermining EU credibility and harming allies by easing climate efforts while endorsing a protectionist approach. With Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Ignacio Garcia Bercero www.bruegel.org/first-glance...

bruegel.orgThe worst of both worlds for EU auto industry policyA new Franco-German agreement risks undermining EU credibility and harming allies by easing climate efforts while endorsing a protectionist approach

buff.lyThe worst of both worlds for EU auto industry policyA new Franco-German agreement risks undermining EU credibility and harming allies by easing climate efforts while endorsing a protectionist approach

🚗 The worst of both worlds for EU auto industry policy A new Franco-German agreement risks undermining EU credibility and harming allies by easing climate efforts while endorsing a protectionist approach By Ignacio Garcia Bercero, @tagliapietra.bsky.social & Jeromin Zettelmeyer 🔗 buff.ly/T1G8lnm

buff.lyChina’s outbound AI strategy starts with models and governance and ends with chipsBeijing is strategically planning to export AI rules and models before its chips; how should Europe engage?

💻 China’s outbound AI strategy starts with models and governance and ends with chips Beijing is strategically planning to export AI rules and models before its chips; how should Europe engage? 📑 Read the Analysis by @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & Théo Storella 🖇️https://buff.ly/X6AcBYQ

buff.lyWhat lessons should Europe take from China’s tightening grip on its advanced AI?A move by China to impose constraints on foreign use of its AI models could show Europe that it needs to do more to develop its own

💻 What lessons should Europe take from China’s tightening grip on its advanced AI? A move by China to impose constraints on foreign use of its AI models could show Europe that it needs to do more to develop its own ✒️ By @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & Bertin Martens 🖇️https://buff.ly/EQ4KzZW

🌐Unpicking the implications: China shock 2.0🚚 📅28 October 2026 | 10:30-12:45 Event on China shock 2.0 with: @cbeaune.bsky.social, Lorenzo Bencivelli, @lucafornaro.bsky.social, Debora Revoltella, Michele Ruta, @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social 🔗Register: buff.ly/4GYhhTY

buff.lyHungary’s path to the euro: five tests for a sustainable adoption strategyHungary’s euro ambitions require fiscal and institutional repair first, as the formal criteria can mask budget, credit and competitiveness weaknesses

❓Hungary’s path to the euro: 5 tests for a sustainable adoption strategy Hungary’s euro ambitions require fiscal and institutional repair first, as the formal criteria can mask budget, credit and competitiveness weaknesses By @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social & Gene Frieda 🔗https://buff.ly/MoW9rEL

Bruegel reposted

Jordan Becker

@jordanbecker.bsky.social

New article with @bruegel.org Everybody’s job is nobody’s job: a governance gap means Europe is insufficiently protected from drones share.google/RMb86Pvxns62...

share.googleEverybody’s job is nobody’s job: a governance gap means Europe is insufficiently protected from dronesEurope has an action plan for defending against drone attacks but so far lacks coordination, leaving dangerous loopholes

🪙 The Pandemic Recovery Revolution ❓ How the EU’s RRF plan changed the public investment paradigm 🗣️ Debora Revoltella in conversation with host @rebeccawire.bsky.social and @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social 🖇️ Listen to the podcast now: buff.ly/gidZKCZ

buff.lyWill new live market data publication change Europe’s capital markets?Join this event of the Finance Focus series with Nicolas Veron and Eglantine Desautel

📽️ Catch up on the recording of our most recent Finance Focus event "Will new live market data publication change Europe’s capital markets?" with Eglantine Desautel and @veron.bsky.social 🔗 Watch it on our website now: buff.ly/OpUtW0R

@tagliapietra.bsky.social

📊 Chart of the week: European Union gas storage by time of year 📑 Explore the latest update of our "European natural gas imports" dataset 🔗 buff.ly/v50LevX

Bruegel reposted

Simone Tagliapietra

🔥 Will Europe's stop-start heat pump market return to growth? Around 10% of European homes currently have a heat pump, and heat pumps account for 25% of new heating installations. Sales initially jumped in 2022 and 2023 during the Russian gas crisis - a pattern that might be repeating in 2026.

buff.lyIs there a ‘China problem’ and how can the World Trade Organization address it?Bilateral pushback against China is failing, making joint WTO and IMF action key to tackling subsidies, under-consumption and an undervalued currency

🌐 Is there a ‘#China problem’ and how can the World Trade Organization address it? 🔖 Read the Working Paper by Petros C. Mavroidis 🔗 buff.ly/P1rKABi #EconSky #WTO

buff.lyEverybody’s job is nobody’s job: a governance gap means Europe is insufficiently protected from dronesEurope has an action plan for defending against drone attacks but so far lacks coordination, leaving dangerous loopholes

🚨 Everybody’s job is nobody’s job: a governance gap means Europe is insufficiently protected from drones 📑 Read the First Glance by @jordanbecker.bsky.social, Giedrimas Jeglinskas, Elizabeth Kennedy Trudeau & Justin Hamilton 🔗 buff.ly/Z53sUN2

Bruegel reposted

Europe's heat pump market has been stop-start. Sales surged in 2022 & 23, but slowed as gas prices fell. Fast forward to 2026, another energy crisis, and early signs are of another pick up. Policy challenge is to engender stable growth. european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/FjR6Ng

🗣️ @chadpbown.com (Peterson Institute for International Economics) speaking at one of our recent events, "Winning trade wars or securing trade peace?". ❓Can rules-based trade survive an era of geopolitical rivalry? 📽️ Catch up on the recording of the event: buff.ly/553Nm48

Bruegel reposted

European gas demand in September continues more than 20 percent lower than pre-crisis (2019-21) average. Also below the 2022-25 average by a few % point. www.bruegel.org/dataset/euro...

buff.lyThe Pandemic Recovery RevolutionHow the EU’s RRF plan changed the public investment paradigm

🪙 The Pandemic Recovery Revolution 🎙️ In this episode, host @rebeccawire.bsky.social speaks with @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social & Debora Revoltella about the EU’s unprecedented, joint-debt funded Recovery & Resilience Fund, paid for with the NextGenerationEU bond sales program. 🔗 buff.ly/gidZKCZ

Bruegel reposted

By August 2026, half of all newly registered passenger cars in the Netherlands are battery electric. european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/X2kNpA

buff.lyThe Irish ‘box’: the worst possible compromise for the EU budgetA new plan indicates that in both size and composition terms, the EU budget for 2028-2034 is heading in the wrong direction

📦 The Irish ‘box’: the worst possible compromise for the EU budget A new plan indicates that in both size and composition terms, the EU budget for 2028-2034 is heading in the wrong direction 📑 Read the First Glance by @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social & @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/3ObVqak

buff.lyAhead of a presidential election, France first needs to help itself on debtWhen could market stress justify European Central Bank intervention over French debt and what must France do first for such support to be defensible?

🔵 ⚪ 🔴 Ahead of a presidential election, #France first needs to help itself on #debt 💡 Read the Analysis by Gene Frieda, @jfkirkegaard.bsky.social and Mahmood Pradhan 🔗 buff.ly/cWze3Sh #EconSky

Bruegel reposted

euronews.comEU’s China trade breakthrough risks taking pressure off BeijingThe EU's new trade deal with China has eased fears of an escalating trade war, but it could also weaken the political momentum behind Brussels' plans to take a tougher stance against Beijing's economi...

Views for @euronews.com: “ #Merz is in a weak position to reject the agreement. He will drag his feet when it comes to new measures because #Germany will prefer to cash in this goody as the deal will reduce competition.” www.euronews.com/2026/10/12/e...

buff.lyThe EU-China trade and investment understanding: a welcome buying of timeAn EU-China agreement to ease tensions, especially on hybrid electric vehicles, could provide a template for talks on other sectors and broader issues

🗨️ One issue, two Bruegel perspectives: reactions to the EU-China 'common understanding' on #trade and #investment ⏳ The EU-China trade and investment understanding: a welcome buying of time, by Ignacio Garcia Bercero 🔗 buff.ly/BulZKEL

buff.lyA first step, but no real rebalancing in the European Union’s trade deal with ChinaDiscussions this October between the EU and China resulted in negligible progress towards rebalancing trade; more powerful measures are needed

⚠️ A first step, but no real rebalancing in the European Union’s trade deal with China, by @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/Qhr3j8p #EconSky

Bruegel reposted

bruegel.orgChina's AI governance playbookChina's approach to AI governance and what it means for US-China coordination, AI safety and Europe's role

Sharing my podcast on in the series of Zhonghua Mundus by @bruegel.org. In this episode, we discussed #China's approach to #AI governance and what it means for US-China coordination, AI safety and Europe's role with the host Yuyun Zhan and the guest Kristy Loke. www.bruegel.org/podcast/chin...

buff.lyArtificial intelligence, jobs and growth in developing economiesA discussion of the World Bank Group’s World Development Report 2026 "The Promise of Artificial Intelligence"

🗣️ Catch up on the recording of our event "AI, jobs and growth in developing economies", where Gillian Edgeworth, @digitalmario.bsky.social, Gaurav Nayyar, Debora Revoltella & @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social discussed The World Bank Group’s World Development Report 2026 "The Promise of AI" buff.ly/20u4fBE

Bruegel reposted

bruegel.orgBRICs at 25How do Brazil, Russia, India and China influence today’s global economy?

Sharing my podcast in the series of the Sound of Economics by @bruegel.org 🎙️#BRICs at 25 🌐 🔵How do #Brazil, #Russia, #India and #China influence today’s global economy? www.bruegel.org/podcast/bric...

🎙️BRICs at 25 🌐 🔵How do Brazil, Russia, India and China influence today’s global economy? 🗣️Jim O’Neill in conversation with host @rebeccawire.bsky.social and Bruegel researchers Suman K. Bery and @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social 🔗Listen to the full episode: buff.ly/liEqvri

📊 Chart of the week: Current and future normal retirement for a man with a full career from age 22 📑 Read the Working Paper by @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social, @jfkirkegaard.bsky.social, Alexandre Mendonça and Bo Sangers 🔗 buff.ly/2TlXAvm

buff.lyWhere and when it pays: the economic value of solar and wind power placement in EuropeThe efficient placement of solar and wind power capacity is as important as increasing the quantity of deployment in Europe

☀️🍃 Where and when it pays: the economic value of solar and wind power placement in Europe ✏️ Analysis by @mariejuge.bsky.social, @aroth.bsky.social & @gzachmann.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/Jjvf2iL #EconSky

buff.lyThe Danes, the Dutch, the Swedes and the feasibility of walking away from pay-as-you-go pensionsPrefunded pensions in Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden pair income security with fiscal sustainability, but other EU countries need a faster route

👵🧓 The Danes, the Dutch, the Swedes and the feasibility of walking away from pay-as-you-go #pensions 🔖 Working Paper by @zsoltdarvas.bsky.social, @jfkirkegaard.bsky.social, Alexandre Mendonça and Bo Sangers 🔗 buff.ly/2TlXAvm #EconSky

Bruegel reposted

Where are Europe's clean tech factories? Wind factories are concentrated along coastlines; while Sicily hosts the largest solar cell facility Largest clean iron plant is Stegra in northern Sweden (with cheap hydropower) while other investments are alongside legacy plants in Germany 1/2