Brun

GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.

GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.

GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table

GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all

GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase

GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger

GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.

New football season got me thinking about the difference in difficulty between the English Premier League and Championship. I took a look at how teams' ratios of goals scored to goals conceded changed between seasons over the last 10 years:

GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips

Someone talk me round on Leeds’ business so far please. Early in the window I know but feeling pretty underwhelmed (not only with the actual signings but some of the rumours too).

Good luck to my fellow sickos playing any version of CWC fantasy. May never touch grass at this rate

If there was ever a time for Blue Sky to launch group messsges…

Logging back in just to say Leeds United are massive and free Largie Ramazani

Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass

Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves

FPL Double and Blank Gameweeks Viz dump + logic explained 🧵

Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting

GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.

GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play

Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so

GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace

Anyone else own Flekken, Fabianski, Raul, Bruno & Dibling and have only 1FT? Interested to see where others are going but appreciate I might be the only one suboptimal enough to be in this predicament

GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs

New achievement unlocked: have both GKers get injured in the same GW

Should never check mid way through the GW but top line is currently hitting out Bruno who I brought in this week. Patreon now half price for the new year

GW18: Did Saka to Bruno earlier in the week now time to chill and drink some mulled wine ahead of Boxing Day eve and a full day of football. Merry Christmas to those with the exact same team as me. Bah Humbug to the rest of you. No EV for you sub optimal meeces

Yeah, what the hell is this 🤮

GW17: Bad week to be bad. 30k red arrow. Team bad but only 1FT so will be Saka out and reassess future paths now Jiminez’s mins look even shakier than before.

GW16: A jammy, tiny green thanks to Porro fluking the rare CS off bench & Gvard somehow scoring again. Team feels like it’s clinging on slightly, 2FTs & could do with Andersen being fit to open up option of rolling to 3. Porro out for cheaper def to enable upgrades elsewhere later also an option

Porro Djed as an asset moving forward?

GW16: Rolling, team bad

I calculated the EVs for the Assistant Manager in each fixture. For now, not factored in probability of being 5 places below so: Pts = EV if they not 5+ places below Pts++ = EV if they are 5+ places below From my team strength model

Considering downgrading Gab so I can afford Oliver Glasner in ten week’s time. Game’s truly gone

Follow this criminally underrated Irish man who somehow not only has incredible rank history but can also get multiple price rises out of crap assets like RAN without the need for them doing the points

GW15: 58% green on FH but didn’t quite hit expectation vs prime and, thanks to a pretty big outlier GW from my regular team (78 points from 50ish EV), I actually would have been better off not playing the chip. Not sure where the assessment will land on decision to FH but OR is good so I’m happy atm

@bakerfpl343.bsky.social as the FPL guru on all things bps, do you know if bonus points have changed for any Mon night (or Sun if they’re last day of fixtures) games 24hrs later? Seems like it only happens to earlier fix but I don’t want to draft a strongly worded email until I know that’s the case

GW15: FH to gain +10EV on my regular team, hopefully gain a bit of EV over the engaged field and increase risk profile massively. Could easily backfire but Xfun/Xstress should be high and that’s why we play the game