Council on Foreign Relations

Council on Foreign Relations

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Investors are betting that the Brazilian presidential candidate will rein in public debt. But structural and political hurdles make austerity easier to promise than to enact, argue expert Rebecca Patterson and Ishaan Thakker.

cfr.orgCould Flávio Bolsonaro Deliver on His Fiscal Promises? | Council on Foreign RelationsInvestors are betting that the Brazilian presidential candidate will rein in public debt. But structural and political hurdles make austerity easier to promise than to enact.

As President Trump’s envoy met President Vladimir Putin this week, critics accused the White House of abandoning Ukraine. Expert Thomas Graham argues that this criticism may be warranted, but "with pressure only able to go so far, dialogue and diplomacy are critical to reaching a settlement."

cfr.orgTrump’s Putin Overtures Deserve Criticism. But Outrage Won’t End the Ukraine War. | Council on Foreign RelationsAs Trump’s envoy meets Putin in St. Petersburg, critics accuse the White House of abandoning Ukraine. CFR’s Thomas Graham argues that this criticism may be warranted, but dialogue and diplomacy remain...

The number of violent conflicts worldwide is on the rise. Our Global Conflict Tracker traces active conflicts, providing background information, the latest developments, and status assessments. Use the interactive tool to learn more:

cfr.orgGlobal Conflict Tracker | Council on Foreign RelationsLearn about the world's top hotspots with this interactive Global Conflict Tracker from the Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Ukrainian drones took out 3 data centers owned by Yandex, sometimes referred to as Russia’s Google, in retaliation for Russian strikes on its data centers. The strikes have laid bare the vulnerability of AI's physical infrastructure, writes expert Connor Martin.

“The stable and open international order erected during America’s watch—Pax Americana—is unraveling, giving way to global disarray,” argues expert Charles Kupchan. In his new book, Bringing Order to Anarchy, Kupchan lays out a guide for building a new order fit for the emerging multipolar world:

cfr.orgBringing Order to Anarchy | Council on Foreign RelationsWith the United States and the world it leads in disarray, how should we construct a new international order?

President Donald Trump’s agreement to buy diesel from Russia could mark a dangerous shift in how the U.S. president views the conflict with Ukraine, argues expert Stephen Sestanovich.

Cyber-enabled scams are spreading globally with the aid of emerging technologies like AI. CFR expert Rita Fernández conducted field research in Thailand to learn how AI is used to enable human trafficking.

President Trump announced a new diesel deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin on October 9 to the surprise of many U.S. allies. Experts argue the agreement could undercut Western economic pressure on Russia and solidarity efforts with Ukraine while doing little to lower fuel prices.

“Everyone wants autonomy to be a clear binary, yes or no. . . . In reality, autonomy is a spectrum. . . . The question isn’t, ‘Is it autonomous?’ but rather, ‘How autonomous is it?’” argue experts Michael C. Horowitz and Lauren Kahn.

cfr.orgThe Autonomous Weapons Debate (Still) Has a Definition Problem | Council on Foreign RelationsThe debate over autonomous weapons and the debate over frontier AI safety are about different problems. To regulate autonomous weapons effectively and move forward after a decade of discussion, lawmak...

Oil exports from the Middle East have rebounded, fueling claims that the U.S. is winning its war with Iran. But the Strait of Hormuz remains treacherous, Tehran isn’t any closer to accepting Washington’s terms, and the costs of the conflict continue to climb on both sides, argues expert Max Boot.

cfr.orgMore Oil, Same War: Why Increased Exports Aren’t a Sign of Iran’s Imminent Defeat | Council on Foreign RelationsOil exports from the Middle East have rebounded, fueling claims that the United States is winning its war with Iran. But the Strait of Hormuz remains treacherous, Tehran isn’t any closer to accepting ...

Myanmar's war has displaced health-care workers and destroyed its infrastructure, enabling disease spread to nearby Bangladesh, India, and Thailand, argues CFR expert Joshua Kurlantzick in Think Global Health.

thinkglobalhealth.orgMyanmar's Health System Is Under Siege, Endangering the Region | Think Global HealthMyanmar's war has displaced health-care workers and destroyed its infrastructure, enabling disease transmission to neighboring Bangladesh, India, and Thailand

Oil exports from the Middle East have rebounded, fueling claims that the U.S. is winning its war with Iran. But the Strait of Hormuz remains treacherous and the costs of the conflict are continuing to climb on both sides, argues expert Max Boot.

Edward Fishman's fascination with foreign policy started with his childhood love of hockey and its international players. His career has taken him from government to Silicon Valley to CFR, where he's a senior fellow for geoeconomics. Here's how he got his career in foreign policy.

cfr.orgHow I Got My Career in Foreign Policy: Edward Fishman | Council on Foreign RelationsEdward Fishman’s career has taken him from government to think tanks to Silicon Valley. He sat down with CFR to discuss the importance of developing your own voice, how tech converges with foreign pol...

The summit last week between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping did not resolve any of the major issues facing the U.S.-China relationship. “But that does not mean the meeting was a complete failure,” argues expert David Sacks.

President Donald Trump’s trade pressures have rapidly pushed Canada and Europe toward each other. Whether the proposed EU “associate membership” for Canada stands is another matter, argues expert Matthias Matthijs.

cfr.orgWhat Can Europe Really Offer Canada? | Council on Foreign RelationsDonald Trump’s trade pressures have rapidly pushed Canada and Europe toward each other. Whether the proposed EU “associate membership” for Canada survives contact with twenty-seven European capitals, ...

President Donald Trump’s trade pressures have rapidly pushed Canada and Europe toward each other. Whether the proposed EU “associate membership” for Canada stands, is another matter, argues expert Matthias Matthijs.

Growing economic pressure is unlikely to be enough to shift the Kremlin’s course, but a Cold War–inspired playbook of resistance, deterrence, and dialogue might, argues expert Thomas Graham.

The United States and Canada may settle their current trade dispute, but the decades-long movement to integrate the two economies is likely at an end, argues expert James M. Lindsay.

On September 11, 2001, a terrorist attack took the lives of nearly 3,000 people, and deeply affected the generations of Americans who witnessed it. 25 years later, we spoke with 3 Gen Z interns at CFR, all born after the attacks, about how they understand 9/11 and its legacy.

CFR's U.S. Government Deal Tracker sheds light on how the government is experimenting with new tools and financing structures to advance a range of strategic sectors, including critical minerals, energy, global logistics, manufacturing, telecommunications, and other technologies. Read the tracker:

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The Iran war has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in market history, yet barely dented global growth after 6 months of conflict. Strategic reserves and shale get the credit, but the unexpected cushion is the fuel everyone forgets—demand itself, argues expert Vijay V. Vaitheeswaran.

cfr.orgCrude Calculations: Why the Iran War Hasn’t Yet Caused an Oil Shock | Council on Foreign RelationsThe Iran war has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in market history yet barely dented global growth after six months of conflict. Strategic reserves and shale get the credit, but the unexpe...

For the first time in nearly 2 decades, a new Pew Research survey—based on interviews with more than 42,000 people across 36 countries—shows China is viewed more favorably than the US. "This is a story driven more by an American decline in soft power than by a Chinese surge," writes Yanzhong Huang.

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"Zambia's 2026 general elections are unlikely to leave many citizens feeling particularly confident in their democracy," writes expert Michelle Gavin. "That's a shame, because in 2021, the commitment of Zambian citizens served as a bright spot in dark times for democracy advocates around the world."

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On this episode of The President's Inbox podcast, James Lindsay sits down with expert Steven Cook to unpack the current state of the US-Iran conflict after 6 months of war, broader dynamics in the Middle East, and the shifting US role in the region. Watch or listen wherever you get your podcasts:

cfr.orgPODCAST | The President's Inbox: Six Months of War With Iran, With Steven Cook | Council on Foreign RelationsThis episode unpacks the current state of the U.S.-Iran conflict, broader dynamics in the Middle East, and the shifting U.S. role in the region.

Despite the Trump Administration's sweeping new tariffs last year, U.S. spending on imports and income paid to foreigners continued to grow—to a record $6.26 trillion," writes Benn Steil. Trace which countries are running the world's biggest deficits and surpluses in CFR's Global Imbalances Tracker:

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Six months from the beginning of the U.S.-Israel war against Iran, 7 experts weigh in on what the conflict means for the U.S., the region, and what to look for moving forward. Read more from Steven Cook, Farah Pandith, Henri Barkey, Elliott Abrams, Bruce Hoffman, Ed Husain, and Elisa Ewers:

cfr.orgThe Iran War at Six Months: A Region—and Its Relationship With the U.S.—Transformed | Council on Foreign RelationsSix months on from the start of the Iran war, CFR experts weigh in on what it means for the United States and the region, and what to look for moving forward.