Change Research

📊 40% of voters name government corruption as a top-three political issue. That is the most cited issue in our August Compass Poll. 📈 Up from 34% in February 💸 Inflation and cost of goods: 36% 🏥 Healthcare costs: 27% changeresearch.com/r...

23% of less motivated voters say they voted for Kamala Harris in 2024. They still view President Trump more negatively than the most motivated voters do, on every issue but the border. changeresearch.com/r...

📈 88% of voters support banning members of Congress from trading individual stocks. 🔵 Democrats: 89% ⚪ Independents: 86% 🔴 Republicans: 88% changeresearch.com/r...

52% of voters oppose committing the U.S. to fight alongside Israel if war breaks out. 38% support it. Among voters 18 to 34, opposition is 78%. Among voters 50 to 64, it’s 37%. changeresearch.com/r...

Two weeks out, where do the midterms stand? Our full campaign polling team breaks it down live at Plus or Minus: The Roundtable, Oct. 21 at 3 PM ET / 12 PM PT. changeresearch.zoom....

Reservations for our Nov. 4 post-election omnibus close Friday, Oct. 23. Add your questions to a national survey of registered voters fielded the day after Election Day: changeresearch.com/c...

Three weeks to Election Day. Spark Polls go in the field the same day you send candidate info, with results back within days. Pre-election fielding closes Friday, Oct. 16. Buy direct: portal.changeresearc...

How do residents see the data centers coming to their communities? Embold Research’s Andrea Everett joins the Environmental Polling Consortium’s Data Center Polling Deep Dive tomorrow, Oct. 14, 3 PM ET. Register:

From the #midterms to America’s role abroad, @changeresearch.com gave Truman members a tailored briefing on what voters are thinking—and the chance to question the pollsters behind the findings. Here’s one national security takeaway from the briefing. #OnlyAtTruman

Super psyched for this event hosted by @mattbooker.bsky.social—an alum of The Downballot who's now a pollster at @changeresearch.com. Tomorrow's discussion is on Black voters in the Midwest. RSVP here—it's free!

This Wednesday. 3 PM ET / 12 PM PT. New Compass Poll data on Black voters in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down what's shaping these 2026 battlegrounds. Register: hubs.la/Q04wrygL0

New research: Embold Research partnered with Heatmap News to survey 5,000+ voters on clean energy messaging. 55% believe solar and wind are only cost competitive due to subsidies. Full report:

25 years after 9/11, as we remember those lost, our Compass Poll finds a generational shift: 63% of voters 18-34 say the US should not get too involved internationally, vs 28% of voters 65+. Full findings: changeresearch.com/r...

Women set a record for governor candidacies in 2026, but the ambition gap hasn't closed: 36% of men vs 20% of women have thought about running for office, per our new survey. Full data: changeresearch.com/r...

Save the date: Sept 16, 3pm ET. Plus or Minus returns with a special edition on the Black vote in OH, WI, and MI. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down our new Compass Poll ahead of 2026. Register: changeresearch.zoom....

57% of Americans say the Iran war is not worth fighting, per our new survey of 2,045 voters (Aug 8-13). 92% of Dems and 76% of independents agree; 65% of Republicans disagree. Full data: changeresearch.com/r...

Save the date: Sept 16, 3pm ET. Plus or Minus returns with a special edition on the Black vote in OH, WI, and MI. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down our new Compass Poll ahead of 2026. Register: changeresearch.zoom....

83% of voters support a max age limit for Congress. 87% want a formal process to remove officials who become cognitively unable to serve. Neither exists today. New national data on an issue voters have strong, consistent views on: 🔗 changeresearch.com/r...

Half a percent off the final result. That's how close our polling came in LA's City Council District 11 race. We polled for 9 Democratic primary candidates. Here's what the data showed about enthusiasm, age, and where voters stand heading into November.

We asked 2,006 voters about 3 different digital restrictions for minors. Support ranged from 75% down to 25%, and dropped even further once applied to adults. Voters draw sharper lines here than you'd expect. 🔗

We asked NC voters an open-ended question: what message would you send to Trump? Republican answers split into two distinct camps: 79% "Definite," 20% "Movable." Trump's approval in the state sits at 40%, 11 points below his 2024 vote share. 🔗

New look, same data you trust. We've relaunched changeresearch.com with easier access to our latest research, services, and Data Portal. Go check it out. 🔗

Big win for Fred Clark, who took the Democratic nomination in a competitive three-way primary for Wisconsin's 7th CD. On to November! Congrats, Fred and team. 🔗 http://changeresearc...

Congratulations to Alabas Farhat on winning the Democratic primary for Michigan's 3rd House District. Change Research is proud to support candidates like Alabas with fast, accurate polling. Learn more at www.changeresearch.com

Congratulations to Abdul El-Sayed on his win in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary. 🔗 Learn more about how Change Research supports winning campaigns: www.changeresearch.com

A new essay about the changes in our politics highlighted in the recent Pew typology report. open.substack.com/pub/stephenc...

Congratulations to Salt Lake County District Attorney Sim Gill on winning the Democratic primary last night! 🎉 He's served as DA since 2010 and heads to the November general. Proud to have supported his campaign. changeresearch.com

Change Research and Embold Research will be closed on June 19 in observance of Juneteenth. We recognize the significance of this day and the history it honors. See you next week.

Embold Research: Opposition to local data center construction jumped from 52% to 70% in six months. Energy costs are driving it. When voters learn a data center would generate on-site solar or wind power, the share expecting major bill increases drops from 59% to 23%. emboldresearch.com/o...

Consumer confidence is at 48.2. Lower than any recorded point in 50 years. 51% of the electorate isn't locked in. Among Movable voters: 71% say we're already in a recession. 45% are undecided on the House ballot. Full briefing recap: changeresearch.com/2026-05-plus...

Congrats to Ryan Hampton on advancing from the NV AD-09 primary. 🗳️ State and district races define 2026. Change Research polls districts with as few as 300 respondents. Fast results. Movable voters identified, not just partisan splits. http://changeresearc...

Our offices at Change Research and Embold Research are closed Monday, May 25 for Memorial Day. To all who have served, and to the families who carry the weight of that service: thank you.

Some free campaign advice: stephenclermont.substack.com/p/campaigns-...

TOMORROW! Apr 20th at 3 PM ET: Plus or Minus is live. Stephen Clermont on voter economic sentiment from the Compass Poll. Register if you haven't: changeresearch.zoom....

We asked voters what's driving the reported trend of young women moving toward traditional roles. Top answers: 38%: childcare costs make work not worth it 28%: burnout 26%: personal preference 19%: don't think it's happening Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...

The Wall Street Journal reports White House officials are considering plans to issue 250 pardons to mark America's semiquincentennial, according to several people familiar with the matter. Former DOJ pardon attorney Eliizabeth Oyer joins Erielle Reshef to react. www.ms.now/ana-cabrera-...

70% of voters expect AI to significantly change their lives in the next 5 years. Of those: 43% expect negative change. 25% expect positive. A majority still choose stricter regulation over U.S. competitive advantage when asked to pick. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...

38% of voters say affordable childcare is what the mothers and caregivers in their lives need most. More than any other option. 6% of women say those caregivers have what they need. 13% of men say the same. April 2026 Compass Poll. n=2,702. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...

Congratulations to Shelby County Commissioner Mickell Lowery on winning the Democratic primary for Shelby County Mayor last night! 🎉 He faces Republican John DeBerry Jr. in August. Change Research is proud to have supported his campaign. www.changeresearch.com

51% of voters strongly disapprove of Trump's job performance. 28% strongly approve. That intensity gap is one of the more notable figures from our April 2026 Compass Poll. Full 15-month tracking on Trump, Vance, and Rubio: changeresearch.com/w...

New from Change Research: Plus or Minus, a monthly live Compass Poll briefing. Kicking off May 20 at 3 PM ET with Head of Polling Stephen Clermont on voter economic sentiment. Register: changeresearch.zoom....

Tonight is the Met Gala. Most Americans aren't watching. Half of those who are say it's out of touch. And naming Jeff Bezos as sponsor tripled concern about billionaire funding of cultural institutions (14% to 42%).

Tonight is the Met Gala. We polled voters on it. 71% know what it is but don’t follow it. 21% have never heard of it. 8% follow it at least somewhat closely. Fashion’s biggest night doesn’t land the same way for everyone.

We tested the Trump third-term hypothetical in our April 2026 Compass Poll. Obama 48% to Trump 39% He gains ground relative to Harris with nearly every major voter group we tested. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/y...

Supporters of U.S. action in Iran cite Iran's nuclear threat as the top reason. Their top fear? A prolonged conflict. Most draw a hard line at ground troops. 54% of MAGA supporters also fear domestic retaliation. 📊 changeresearch.com 📺 youtu.be/7mtMHmhQUnQ

Opponents of U.S. action in Iran lead with one argument: Congress didn't authorize it. Many call the decision unconstitutional. Young women express opposition most frequently in the dataset. 📊 Full analysis: changeresearch.com Watch the webinar: youtu.be/7mtMHmhQUnQ

Virginia passed its redistricting referendum 51.5-48.5. Our Head of Polling Stephen Clermont breaks down what it means, why the polls nailed it, and what the new Democratic floor in the state actually is. Good read.

My post on the Virginia election last night and another spectacular defeat for Trump, MAGA, James Blair, and cynical Republican consultants. open.substack.com/pub/stephenc...

Only 3% of voters expecting a tax refund plan to spend it on something fun. The rest: 🏦Savings: 29% 💸Pay down debt: 24% 💳Catch up on bills: 21% Full analysis at changeresearch.com/v...

The White House tipped a DoorDash driver $100 to promote “no tax on tips.” Our Feb 2026 poll of 1,741 voters: ✅ 35% know it has limits ❌ 36% think it’s unlimited 🤷 11% only partially correct 📰 18% not following it Full data: changeresearch.com/voters-voice...