Charles McGuinness

Charles McGuinness

@cmcguinness.com

"The most authentic hipster talk of today is the twenty-three skidoo of tomorrow" -- Ernest Hemingway SF Bay Area, barely. I have thoughts on AI: https://mcguinnessai.substack.com More a tech grandpa than a tech bro.

411 followers416 following1.8K posts

The central irony of Antropic's IPO: The want to sell $100B in stock for 5% of the company. But for the same $100B you could build a viable competitor to them and own 100% of that. And you could build it using their tools.

Anthropic's IPO filing says the founders get at least 50.1% of the voting power no matter how many shares they own. Software companies long ago figured out how to sell you software without your actually owning it. Now they want to sell you shares without your owning the company.

I'm trying to figure out the mystery of "Cooking Wine" at grocery stores. Why is this salt-lick of wine a product? Is this a conspiracy by big diuretics? You can buy real wine for less; if you're concerned with spoilage, the 4-pack of Sutter Home Chardonnay is still cheaper than Holland House.

Yay, but California would be so much richer if it wasn't a donor state to the tune of over $200 billion a year...

Governor Gavin Newsom@governor.ca.gov

California's September revenue came in at a whopping $2.9 BILLION above forecasts. As our economy continues to grow, we will keep betting on the future being built right here in the Golden State.

There's a belief that seems pervasive yet is very much wrong that AI can hack into any system anywhere. And now the government is going to spend billions of $ finding that out.

Tourism is an important part of California’s economy. An independent California would be welcoming and hospitable to international visitors. See @votecnp.bsky.social

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

New in PN: Who wants to visit an authoritarian America? "Data shows the US on its way to being as unpopular a tourist destination as Russia, & for roughly the same reasons. In both countries, a tourist who runs afoul of the govt might spend months in a freezing warehouse without no legal counsel."

So, if nobody reads the list, nobody can know who is on it.

Marc Elias@marcelias.bsky.social

🚨BREAKING: DOJ dramatically escalated its confrontation with California election officials, explicitly warning that they could face federal criminal exposure if they count ballots from voters the Trump administration has flagged as potential noncitizens. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...

Feels like there's a whole line of "wow, maybe the Democrats will win enough to fix the country" opinion pieces out there. As if the requisite number of Democratic senators won't suddenly go all "bi-partisan" on us to scuttle everything.

Imagine living in a country with a sane immigration policy; This wouldn't be a problem. That is never going to be the USA, alas.

Kat O’Brien@lavidagata.bsky.social

WSJ: nearly two-thirds of builders say immigration enforcement is impacting their labor force. Fewer workers available, higher costs given more demand for workers than available, and delays on projects. www.wsj.com/us-news/the-...

AI is an excuse, not a reason. It makes it sound like you're cutting-edge, not running out of money. But Kroger is laying off people as it is facing a $9 billion payout to Albertsons for the failed merger. Plus, Trump's eff'd up inflation so consumers are hurting, and that hurts Kroger in turn.

Robert Reich@rbreich.bsky.social

Kroger just announced the largest layoffs in its history, with plans to cut 3,000 employees as it ramps up use of AI. Reminder that Kroger has spent $12.3B on stock buybacks since 2019 and paid its CEO $14M last year — 417x its median worker's pay. AI is turbo-charging corporate greed.

California can either be part of the future on its own, or chained to the past with the USA.

Yonah Freemark@yonahfreemark.com

And yet gas-only cars constituted 77% of the new vehicle market in the US over that period. Has the US ever been this far behind the world average in new tech adoption for a major product type?

And that's when we knew there was going to be a buddy flick after Newsom left office...

Governor Newsom Press Office@govpressoffice.gov.ca.gov

Governor @schwarzenegger.bsky.social: “California is shining worldwide… the perfect example of what can be done when people work together” Not Democrats versus Republicans. Californians working together.

For a country that threw off being a colony, we're awfully hot to trot for colonizing.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "Massive Oil, Gas, and Mineral Exploration is getting ready to begin in our new and beautiful Greenland!" #OurGreenland

AI will (pick one): ▢ Kill us all (eg Terminator) ▢ Save us all (eg Cure Cancer) ▢ Save us all but later kill us all ▢ None of the above, but tell us it will try harder

Whoever the federal judge was that approved the Omar search warrant should be impeached and convicted and barred from ever holding public office again.

This is of course a horrible abuse of the press. OTOH, what the fuck did the media expect from their 10+ years of pretending to be balanced in covering Trump? Of not constantly pointing out that he's evil? Ignoring that he lies non-stop? That he and his cronies are all corruption all the time?

nytimes.comJustice Dept. Is Investigating TV Networks Over Trump Pool Coverage (Gift Article)Major TV networks were notified on Friday that the department was looking into whether they violated antitrust laws when they suspended pool coverage of President Trump.

What legitimacy does a government have if we pretty much assume they are always lying and believe nothing they say?

Whenever ICE shoots someone, they claim the victim was "weaponizing a vehicle." Let's understand this in context. The far right has worked hard since 2017 to demonstrate that vehicles can be weapons, using them to murder people in Charlottesville and elsewhere. crimethinc.com/VehicularAtt... 🧵⬇️

We have always been at war with Eastasia

Shipwreck@shipwreck75.bsky.social

US warned the Ukrainians that Washington might cut off intelligence sharing with Kyiv if it will continue strikes on Russian refineries. The Americans also informed their Ukrainian counterparts that the US was set to lift sanctions on Russian diesel and that Moscow intended to lift its export ban.

The NY Times article needs some copyediting. I fixed it for them.

Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social

(NYT) - Artificial intelligence agents created by Anthropic, acting on their own, tried to gain access to a range of government websites, filled out visa applications on the State Department’s website and sent a fake homicide tip to Philadelphia’s Police Department. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/t...

It would be like PG&E saying they're not responsible for starting wild fires and that they were surprised as anyone else that their power lines decided to commit arson on their own.

Just how incompetent are these companies?

Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social

(NYT) - Artificial intelligence agents created by Anthropic, acting on their own, tried to gain access to a range of government websites, filled out visa applications on the State Department’s website and sent a fake homicide tip to Philadelphia’s Police Department. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/t...

It's hard to fathom how powerful a m7.7 quake is, but just under 9 minutes after one hit Panama, over 3000 miles from me, the ground here started to shake. Imperceptible to us, but clear to an inexpensive sensor in my garage.

FWIW: the wave took 8 min 44 s through the Earth's mantle (P) to get to here. The dashed lines mark where two echoes from bounces were predicted to arrive: * One off the Earth's core (PcP), and * One off the surface in NE Mexico (PP). But at this distance my sensor cannot see them separately.

The @nytimes.com totally misses the story here: the president is assembling a star chamber to go after Fed gov Lisa Cook, outside the bounds of any normal form of legal process, in order to gin up "cause" to remove her. It's a foregone conclusion that they'll find her guilty.

nytimes.comTrump Announces White House Inquiry Into Fed Governor Lisa Cook (Gift Article)President Trump said the White House would investigate unsubstantiated claims that Lisa D. Cook committed mortgage fraud and hold a hearing next month.

This is an example of really bad data visualization. It does not adjust for state population size. When you look at rates, not absolute counts, the map is quite different.

Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social

> @apnews.com #measles apnews.com/article/meas...

Charles McGuinness reposted

🧊 NJ CONCENTRATION CAMP ⁉️ "[Stephen] Miller did not want the facilities that were comfortable. He did not want facilities that were humane. We were told point-blank that that was not what the administration wanted."

NPR@npr.org

Throughout the summer, rumors have been bubbling in North New Jersey that ICE has quietly been using a warehouse as a detention center. NPR investigated. n.pr/4hzvA5M